Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
50.12%median
42%66%
Median 50.12%Middle half 46.96% – 53.24%
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Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
77.37%median
70%88%
Median 77.37%Middle half 75.55% – 79.27%
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.94% on Oct 20, 77.37% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 72% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.6K |
| At least 74% | 89% | ▼ 3 | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 75% | 81% | ▼ 3 | 76¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | |
| At least 76% | 70% | ▼ 4 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| At least 77% | 56% | ▼ 4 | 52¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 212 |
| At least 78% | 41% | ▼ 5 | 37¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 805 |
| At least 80% | 16% | ▼ 3 | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 942 |
| At least 82% | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 500 | |
| At least 84% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 861 | |
| At least 86% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Fulton County, Jon Ossoff, Georgia
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Jon Ossoff’s films exposed corruption. Then his colleague was murdered.Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. What the Georgia… -
Why Fulton County is at the center of Georgia politicsOver the past decade, Georgia has become a closely watched swing state thanks to Fulton County's emergence as a political powerhouse—and the focal point of Donald Trump’s efforts to challenge his 2020 election loss—but its influence wasn’t… -
Congressman seeks to unseat Sen. Jon Ossoff as midterm election nearsSAVANNAH, Ga. (WTOC) - Congressman Mike Collins is running for U.S. Senate, seeking to unseat Sen. Jon Ossoff. Collins was first elected to Congress in 2022, representing Georgia’s 10th District. As voters head to the polls, they are… -
Trump comes out swinging at Democrat Jon Ossoff on Georgia campaign stage as Obama unleashes blistering attacks from MichiganBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER President Donald Trump came out swinging at Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff on Saturday night, wasting little time before mocking the Georgia Democrat's looks and branding his public image a fake… -
Exclusive: President Trump talks poll monitors in Fulton County, Audi plantahead of rally Atlanta News First Exclusive: President Trump talks poll monitors in Fulton County, Audi plant Political rallies pack north Georgia ahead of Election Day From foster care to adoption: Both governor candidates have personal… -
Jon Ossoff opens up sizable lead in high-stakes Georgia Senate raceA new Georgia Senate poll finds Jon Ossoff at 48% and Mike Collins at 40%, with nearly 12% of likely voters undecided. Jon Ossoff opens up sizable lead in high-stakes Georgia Senate race Ossoff leads Mike Collins 48% to 40%, with his… -
Fulton County Elections Academy explains registration, polling places and voter resourcesOctober 22, 2026 / 9:13 AM EDT / CBS Atlanta Fulton County is holding its Elections Academy to give voters a closer look at how the election process works. Participants learn about voter registration, how polling places and poll workers… -
Fulton County TSPLOST vote: What renewing the transportation tax meansFulton County voters outside Atlanta will decide whether to renew a three-quarter-cent sales tax for transportation projects. CBS News Atlanta examines how South Fulton has used the funding for roundabouts, sidewalks and other… -
Fulton County voters to decide whether to renew special transportation sales in NovemberOctober 22, 2026 / 7:47 AM EDT / CBS Atlanta This November, Fulton County voters outside the City of Atlanta will decide whether to renew a special sales tax for transportation projects. T-SPLOST is a local sales tax on retail goods and… -
'Trump Is Begging Putin For Diesel': Jon Ossoff Alleges Russian Energy Deals Benefit Trump AlliesUS Senator Jon Ossoff has accused the Trump administration of helping broker a multibillion-dollar deal involving Russian energy assets, alleging that people with financial ties to President Donald Trump and his family could benefit from… -
YORK TOWNSHIP TRUSTEES: Township Approves Five-Year EMS Contract With Fulton CountyServing Williams & Fulton Counties In Northwest Ohio YORK TOWNSHIP TRUSTEES: Township Approves Five-Year EMS Contract With Fulton County The York Township trustees held their meeting Wednesday, Oct. 14. The meeting began at 6:30 p.m…
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63.67%median
54%72%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions