Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
49.94%median
42%66%
Median 49.94%Middle half 46.79% – 53.07%
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Waukesha County, Wisconsin: Tom Tiffany vote percent
The odds
57%median
48%70%
Median 57%Middle half 54.87% – 59.24%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.02% on Oct 19, 57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 52% | 94% | ▼ 1 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 54% | 85% | ▼ 1 | 82¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 494 |
| At least 56% | 62% | ▼ 2 | 57¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 221 |
| At least 58% | 38% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 605 |
| At least 60% | 17% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | |
| At least 62% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 908 | |
| At least 64% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 68% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Waukesha County, Tom Tiffany, Wisconsin
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David Crowley Attacked the Donors Supporting Tom Tiffany. Here Are Crowley's Wealthy Backers.David Crowley's campaign has attacked the three wealthy donors who have contributed to Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial campaign. The claims are that Tiffany is being bought by billionaires, but that's just not true. And now we're learning that… -
Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany stops in Green Bay on bus tourCongressman and Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany stopped in Green Bay as part of his bus tour on Sunday. Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany stops in Green Bay on bus tour ‘I Am Jane Doe’ rally in Appleton supports… -
Tom Tiffany Tries to Distance Himself From TrumpJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “President Trump has been urging Republican voters to pretend that he is on the ballot for the midterm elections. One of his leading allies, the Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany, is… -
Tom Tiffany campaign staffer Eric Brooks cited for first-offense OWI ahead of tough Wisconsin gubernatorial raceA staff member for Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany’s campaign has been cited for first-offense operating while intoxicated (OWI) in Wisconsin, according to Eau Claire County court records reviewed by local news outlet The… -
Wisconsin U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany launches bid in 2026 Republican primary for governorWisconsin U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany launched his campaign for governor Tuesday afternoon — becoming the third, and highest profile, candidate in the 2026 Republican primary. Racine County Eye is paid for by readers. You've been reading our… -
Wisconsin Schools Deserve Better, Which Is Why We Need Tom Tiffany As GovernorIf President Trump manages to close the Department of Education for good before he leaves office in 2029, it will be ranked as one of his greatest accomplishments behind keeping Hillary Clinton out of the Oval Office. When the Department… -
What are the Uihleins getting for their massive investment in Tom Tiffany?Elizabeth and Richard Uihlein (Screenshot from the New York Times YouTube video “Meet the Billionaire Couple Trying to Reshape the Republican Party”) The Uihleins support a lot of Republican candidates and causes, and would likely have… -
David Crowley, Tom Tiffany clash on taxes, abortion and private school vouchers in Wisconsin governor debateCrowley used every opening to tie Tiffany to Donald Trump while Tiffany made the case for using the state’s $3 billion surplus to cut taxes Oct 22, 2026, 10:22 AM CT With less than two weeks until Election Day and early voting already… -
Wisconsin governor candidates David Crowley, Tom Tiffany clash on taxes, schools in only debateDemocrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany faced off at Marquette University in their sole debate, sparring over cost of living, education funding and healthcare as polls show a tight race. Voters watched the only debate between the… -
David Crowley, Tom Tiffany meet for Wisconsin Gubernatorial DebateCongressman Tom Tiffany and Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley face each other in Wisconsin's Gubernatorial debate Wednesday evening. David Crowley, Tom Tiffany meet for Wisconsin Gubernatorial Debate For the first and possibly only… -
David Crowley and Tom Tiffany square off in lone debate for Wisconsin governor's raceAZ Family David Crowley and Tom Tiffany square off in lone debate for Wisconsin governor's race Why storm chasers flocked to Arizona this week Hail damages cars, windows in north Phoenix during storm Hornets Ryan Kalkbrenner and Brandon… -
Wisconsin governor candidates campaign across state with 8 days until electionDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - Candidates for Wisconsin governor are making their final push for votes, 8 days from the November midterms. Republican Tom Tiffany and Democrat David Crowley are criss-crossing the state, with both…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions