Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
50.12%median
42%66%
Median 50.12%Middle half 46.96% – 53.24%
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New York County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
The odds
82.61%median
76%96%
Median 82.61%Middle half 80.55% – 84.55%
How the odds have moved
Median: 82.4% on Oct 20, 82.61% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 78% | 92% | ▼ 1 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 300 |
| At least 80% | 81% | ▼ 2 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 200 |
| At least 81% | 71% | ▼ 2 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| At least 82% | 59% | ▼ 2 | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 1.2K |
| At least 83% | 45% | ▼ 2 | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | |
| At least 84% | 31% | ▼ 2 | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | |
| At least 86% | 11% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 200 |
| At least 88% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.5K | |
| At least 90% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 92% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 94% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York County, New York, Kathy Hochul
Search ›-
Bruce Blakeman calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani's 'puppet' during New York campaign rallyRepublican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Republican New York… -
Rep. Elise Stefanik announces run for New York governor, potentially challenging Kathy Hochul in 2026 electionUpdated on: November 7, 2025 / 7:35 PM EST / CBS New York Republican Rep. Elise Stefanik announced she is running for governor of New York early Friday morning, after months of hinting that she might challenge Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul… -
Michael Goodwin: Bruce Blakeman says he’ll ‘shock the world’ and kick Kathy Hochul out of AlbanyThe most important question of the week comes from the Wall Street Journal editorial board. As usual, its headline gets straight to the point, asking, “Is New York stuck with Kathy Hochul?” I winced, yet dared to hope the writers had found… -
Blakeman Blasts Hochul As Mamdani's 'Puppet' During New York Campaign Rally-6adeb19ab86f6e7fa97ea544-100-0.mp4Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Blakeman Blasts Hochul As… -
Mamdani to finally campaign with NY Gov. Kathy Hochul as she seeks re-electionBig Apple Mayor Zohran Mamdani will finally hit the campaign trail with Gov. Kathy Hochul — with less than two weeks before Election Day, the incumbent Democrat announced Thursday. Mamdani — who got Hochul’s backing after his stunning… - For real change and a better standard of living, vote Bruce Blakeman over hopeless incumbent Kathy HochulIf you want real change and a better standard of living, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman deserves your vote for governor over incumbent Kathy Hochul — indeed, New Yorkers can’t get rid of her soon enough. Only 40% approve of the job…
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Hochul, Blakeman focus on affordability in campaign stops across New York CityOctober 24, 2026 / 12:03 AM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman campaigned on opposite sides of New York City on Friday, speaking with voters about on affordability, taxes and public safety as the… -
Private Polling Now Shows Kathy Hochul Could be Sent Packing as Blakeman Picks Up Steam [WATCH]By Mary Jacobs October 25, 2026 The Wall Street Journal editorial board posed the blunt question looming over New York politics: “Is New York stuck with Kathy Hochul?” Public polling suggests voters may give the governor four more years on… -
Hochul, Blakeman campaign across New York as early voting continuesCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |… - Republican Bruce Blakeman says rival Kathy Hochul stumping with Zohran Mamdani will be ‘boost’ to his campaignRepublican Bruce Blakeman said Thursday he was thrilled that his rival Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul will be campaigning with lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani, calling it a “big boost” for his gubernatorial campaign. “I think that the more Kathy…
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Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio, UtahCongressional candidates Michael LiPetri, Eric Conroy and Riley Owen join 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss generational change in Congress as elections approach. Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions