Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
49.94%median
42%66%
Median 49.94%Middle half 46.79% – 53.07%
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Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
The odds
54.57%median
46%68%
Median 54.57%Middle half 52.05% – 56.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.61% on Oct 20, 54.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.6K |
| At least 50% | 92% | ▲ 2 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 415 |
| At least 52% | 76% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 674 |
| At least 54% | 56% | ▲ 3 | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 211 |
| At least 56% | 34% | ▲ 3 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 12.00 |
| At least 58% | 16% | ▲ 2 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | |
| At least 60% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Palm Beach County, David Jolly, Florida
Search ›-
Trump votes early in Palm Beach CountyPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot at a polling place in Palm Beach County, Florida, taking part in the same early voting process he once mocked as unnecessary. The stop put Trump back into the heart of the state’s voting machinery as… -
Katherine Waldron looks to unseat Sara Baxter, reverse GOP gains in Palm Beach CountyThe looming Palm Beach County Commission District 6 race between incumbent Republican Sara Baxter and Democratic challenger Katherine Waldron will be a serious test of the GOP’s sizable gains in South Florida in recent cycles. Baxter… -
Palm Beach County Turnout Tops 191,000; Republicans Slightly Lead Early Voting in BocaBOCA RATON, FL (BocaNewsNow.com) (Copyright © 2026 MetroDesk Media, LLC) — More than 191,000 Palm Beach County voters have already cast ballots in the November 3 general election, according to the Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections… -
David Jolly to kick off ‘Believe in Better’ tour MondayDemocratic gubernatorial candidate David Jolly and running mate Gwen Graham will travel the state in the days leading up to Election Day, the campaign announced Saturday. The ticket will be, per the campaign, “rallying with supporters… -
How to make touchscreen voting smoother this election: Palm Beach County supervisor offers tipsIf Palm Beach County voters intend to use the county’s touchscreen voting option this election season, the supervisor of elections says there is more than one way to do it. Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections Wendy Sartory Link said… -
Touchscreen trouble? A tip for Palm Beach County’s ADA-compliant voting devicesWEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (CBS12) — Palm Beach County Supervisor of Elections Wendy Sartory Link said a voter who had trouble using an ADA-compliant ExpressVote ballot-marking device alerted a poll worker earlier this week. Link said the issue… -
Know your candidates in the Palm Beach County school board raceFormer Boynton Beach City Commissioner Christina Romelus is competing with private school teacher Daniel Zapata for the Palm Beach County School Board's District 4 seat. District 4 includes coastal communities from West Palm Beach down to… -
PEACE coalition pushes Palm Beach County candidates on housing crisisPerhaps the largest social-justice group in Palm Beach County is calling for action on affordable housing as the state barrels towards the midterm elections. PEACE — short for People Engaged in Active Community Efforts — is a coalition of… -
As Donald Trump doubles down on Florida, Barack Obama backs David JollyAs President Donald Trump announced plans to come back to Florida to rally for gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds and other candidates he supports, former President Barack Obama issued an unambiguous endorsement of Democratic candidate… -
Teachers in Palm Beach County worry over a ballot referendumWFLX Teachers in Palm Beach County worry over a ballot referendum St. Lucie County Nuclear Power Plant turns 50 Lee reacts to termination as St. Lucie fire chief Year-long bridge closure in southern Martin County forces drivers onto detour… -
Palm Beach County moves forward with e-bike, scooter regulationsWFLX Palm Beach County moves forward with e-bike, scooter regulations St. Lucie County Nuclear Power Plant turns 50 Lee reacts to termination as St. Lucie fire chief Teachers in Palm Beach County worry over a ballot referendum Year-long… -
Palm Beach County District 6 race: Controversies and community prioritiesMayor Sara Baxter and former state Rep. Katherine Waldron are competing for the Palm Beach County District 6 seat. The Palm Beach County District 6 commission race between Mayor Sara Baxter and former state Rep. Katherine Waldron is…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions