Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
49.94%median
42%66%
Median 49.94%Middle half 46.79% – 53.07%
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Broward County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
The odds
62.4%median
52%74%
Median 62.4%Middle half 60.22% – 64.56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.67% on Oct 20, 62.4% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 56% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 500 |
| At least 58% | 92% | ▲ 2 | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 1.3K |
| At least 60% | 78% | ▲ 2 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | |
| At least 62% | 55% | ▲ 3 | 51¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 658 |
| At least 63% | 43% | ▲ 3 | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | |
| At least 64% | 31% | ▲ 3 | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | |
| At least 66% | 11% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 457 |
| At least 68% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 30.00 | |
| At least 72% | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Broward County, David Jolly, Florida
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Bill Clinton campaigns for David Jolly in Florida as gubernatorial race tightensFox News Bill Clinton campaigns for David Jolly in Florida as gubernatorial race tightens The Florida governor race tightens as Bill Clinton campaigns with Democrat David Jolly and GOP hopeful Byron Donalds holds events in The Villages… -
As Donald Trump doubles down on Florida, Barack Obama backs David JollyAs President Donald Trump announced plans to come back to Florida to rally for gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds and other candidates he supports, former President Barack Obama issued an unambiguous endorsement of Democratic candidate… -
David Jolly to kick off ‘Believe in Better’ tour MondayDemocratic gubernatorial candidate David Jolly and running mate Gwen Graham will travel the state in the days leading up to Election Day, the campaign announced Saturday. The ticket will be, per the campaign, “rallying with supporters… -
Byron Donalds taunts David Jolly on changing positions since days in CongressSpeaking in front of a hometown crowd, Republican gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds taunted Democrat David Jolly over flipping positions. “David Jolly is a fraud. This is somebody who tells you what you want to hear, depending on the… -
David Jolly greets Donald Trump with ‘Daddy’s Back’ adThe two Democrats at the top of the Florida party’s statewide ticket came together Friday on the campus of Florida A&M University — one of the few times they have campaigned in tandem since winning their nominations. There's something… -
Poll: Florida’s Hispanic voters lean toward David Jolly, overwhelmingly back Amendment 3Hispanic voters aren’t a monolith, and perhaps nowhere in the U.S. is that more apparent than in Florida, where they’re slightly more inclined to support Democrat David Jolly for Governor while also overwhelmingly in favor of Amendment 3… -
Bill Clinton hits campaign trail for David Jolly as Florida gubernatorial race gains steamFox News Bill Clinton hits campaign trail for David Jolly as Florida gubernatorial race gains steam Rep. Randy Fine, R-Fla., discusses former President Bill Clinton's push for David Jolly on the campaign trail and the GOP's battle to keep… -
David Jolly returns to FAMU during homecoming celebrations, joined by Angie Nixon and Gwen GrahamTALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) - Several political figures stopped by Florida A&M’s homecoming festivities to connect with voters as the general election approaches. Democratic gubernatorial nominee David Jolly was among those who visited the… -
156 local officials line up behind Byron Donalds, including David Jolly’s own MayorRepublican Byron Donalds’ campaign has released the names of 156 local elected officials backing him for Governor. One of them is Chris Arbutine Sr., the Mayor of Belleair Bluffs, where Democrat David Jolly lives. The list includes Mayors… -
Carlos Guillermo Smith Endorses David Jolly for GovernorState Senator Carlos Guillermo Smith (D-17) has endorsed Democratic candidate David Jolly for governor. Sen. Guillermo Smith, who lives in East Orlando, represents part of Orange County. He previously served in the Florida House of… -
David Jolly, Keisha Lance Bottoms to rally at FAMU as Black vote looms large in November in 2 statesDemocratic gubernatorial candidates from Florida and Georgia are counterprogramming President Donald Trump’s Sunshine State show-up Friday with a rally of their own. David Jolly and Keisha Lance Bottoms will headline a Get Out the Vote… -
Bill Clinton Arrives In Florida to Campaign for David JollyFormer President Bill Clinton recently touched down in Hollywood, Fla., to campaign for Florida’s Democratic gubernatorial candidate David Jolly in the state’s first toss-up race in 8 years. “I think we ought to give David Jolly a chance,”…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions