US test scores in Reading in 2026?

Kalshi Economy › Rates & bonds Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $1.5K today · $25.3K traded · $10.2K at stake · prices read 67 min ago

The odds

45%No significant difference

No significant difference45%▲ 6
Significant decrease32%▼ 11
Significant increase21%

How the odds have moved

No significant difference: 45% on Oct 20, 45% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
No significant difference	45%	▲ 6	44¢	45¢	$2.22	27.5K
Significant decrease	32%	▼ 11	31¢	32¢	$3.13	31.4K
Significant increase	21%		20¢	21¢	$4.76	15.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Reading

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All rates & bonds ›

Economy › Rates & bonds

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

5.1%median

4.93%5.25%

Median 5.1%Middle half 5.07% – 5.12%

Economy › Rates & bonds

30-year mortgage rate this week (Oct 22, 2026)

7.31%median

7.22%7.49%

Median 7.31%Middle half 7.3% – 7.33%

Economy › Rates & bonds

30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

7.45%median

1.74%8.24%

Median 7.45%

Economy › Rates & bonds

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?

28%Below 4.85%

4.8%5.13%

Economy › Rates & bonds

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.73%median

5.6%6.1%

Median 5.73%

Economy › Rates & bonds

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

40%5.4%

5.3%6.3%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onNation's Report Card

Trading closesDec 31, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$25.3K (74,478 contracts)

Today$1.5K

This week$25.3K

At stake$10.2K

In the news71 headlines today, 866 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If US average test scores in Reading for eighth graders experienced Significant decrease in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.