Core PCE MoM - September 2026
0.31%median
-0.15%0.55%
Median 0.31%Middle half 0.27% – 0.35%
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PPI MoM in October (October 2026)
The odds
0.37%median
0.1%1.5%
Median 0.37%
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.41% on Oct 20, 0.37% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.2% | 74% | 69¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 54.00 | |
| Above 0.3% | 61% | 56¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 56.00 | |
| Above 0.4% | 45% | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 644 | |
| Above 0.5% | 32% | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 400 | |
| Above 0.6% | 21% | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 20.00 | |
| Above 0.7% | 13% | 8¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 120 | |
| Above 0.8% | 8% | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 240 | |
| Above 0.9% | 8% | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 485 | |
| Above 1.0% | 8% | 7¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 388 | |
| Above 1.1% | 8% | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 414 | |
| Above 1.2% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 277 | ||
| Above 1.3% | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 6.2K | ||
| Above 1.4% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PPI MoM
Search ›- Bitcoin & XRP Slip as US PPI Inflation Comes in Hot at 6.3%, Eyes on Fed Kevin Warsh’s SpeechNavigate the tokenized asset market with allchained Bitcoin and XRP fell further on Thursday as hotter-than-expected US PPI inflation data reinforced concerns over Fed rate hikes. The data followed a hotter-than-expected CPI inflation…
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Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
1.77%median
1%3.3%
Median 1.77%Middle half 1.68% – 2%
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0.23%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.15% – 0.29%
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0.78%median
0.5%1.4%
Median 0.78%Middle half 0.72% – 0.94%
How high will inflation get in 2026?
14%Above 4.5%
4%12%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.