UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
Gaston Bolaños50%
Francis Marshall51%
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Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
The odds
96%Islam Makhachev
- Islam Makhachev96%▲ 3
- Michael Morales3%▲ 2
- Carlos Prates2%▼ 2
- Jack Della Maddalena<1%
- Belal Muhammad<1%
- Sean Brady<1%
- Shavkat Rakhmonov<1%
- Leon Edwards<1%
- Kamaru Usman<1%
- Ian Machado Garry<1%▼ 2
- Ilia Topuria<1%
How the odds have moved
Islam Makhachev: 93% on Oct 20, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev | 96% | ▲ 3 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 131.6K |
| Michael Morales | 3% | ▲ 2 | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 38.7K |
| Carlos Prates | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 88.5K |
| Jack Della Maddalena | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 12.3K | ||
| Belal Muhammad | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.5K | ||
| Sean Brady | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.8K | ||
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.6K | ||
| Leon Edwards | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.5K | ||
| Kamaru Usman | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.1K | ||
| Ian Machado Garry | <1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 128.3K | |
| Ilia Topuria | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 23.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Welterweight Title Holder, Islam Makhachev, Michael Morales
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Islam Makhachev explains why he turned down UFC title defense vs. Carlos PratesIslam Makhachev apparently needs to see more from Carlos Prates. Many expected Makhachev to defend his UFC welterweight title at UFC 336 in January, but fans were instead given an interim title fight between Prates and undefeated contender… -
Islam Makhachev defends decision to duck Carlos Prates: ‘We’ll see who’s the real challenger’Islam Makhachev has spoken out regarding his decision to pass on fighting at UFC 336, resulting in an interim welterweight fight between Carlos Prates and Michael Morales being booked for the Toronto event. Prates vs. Morales was announced… -
Islam Makhachev reveals why he turned down January fight with Carlos PratesIslam Makhachev explains why he’s not fighting Carlos Prates in January Islam Makhachev has spoken up about why he’s not fighting Carlos Prates in January. For the last few weeks, the MMA world has been flooded with rumors that Makhachev… - Michael Morales warns Carlos Prates: 'You're gonna need those lungs'Michael Morales took aim at Carlos Prates following the announcement of their interim title clash. Michael Morales warns Carlos Prates: 'You're gonna need those lungs' Michael Morales tells Carlos Prates to quit smoking ahead of their UFC…
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Carlos Prates Responds to “Poor Guy” Michael Morales’ AccusationsOct 26, 2026 | 8:10 AM EDT “Dude is saying I’m scared to fight him, poor guy. I’ll fight him right now if he wants,” Prates appears to say, as seen in a video shared by Red Corner MMA. While the caption in the post suggests the… -
Carlos Prates vows to KO ‘coward’ Islam Makhachev after UFC 336 talks fall apart: “I’ll come back to retire you”Home » MMA News » UFC » Carlos Prates vows to KO ‘coward’ Islam Makhachev… Carlos Prates is taking aim at Islam Makhachev after plans for a UFC welterweight title fight in January had to be altered. Prates hopped on his Instagram page, and… -
Islam Makhachev’s Coach Denies UFC Set Carlos Prates FightJavier Mendez, the head coach of UFC welterweight champion Islam Makhachev, denied that his fighter was set for a matchup with Carlos Prates. On Saturday during the UFC 333 broadcast, the promotion officially announced that Prates will… -
Michael Morales Sends Warning to Carlos Prates Before UFC 336UFC welterweight stud Michael Morales sent a warning to rival Carlos Prates before the two meet at UFC 336 in January. With UFC welterweight champion Islam Makhachev out for undisclosed reasons, the UFC created an interim welterweight… -
Islam Makhachev reveals why he rejected Carlos Prates fight after Dana White said he gave no reasonIslam Makhachev wants a clearer top contender to emerge before he fights again. Two title bouts took place at UFC 333, but one of the biggest talking points to emerge from Saturday’s broadcast was the news of another coming together for a… -
Carlos Prates Threatens to Retire Islam Makhachev After UFC 336 Snub, Welterweight Champ Fires BackThe welterweight title picture is starting to take shape, with Carlos Prates now set to face Michael Morales for interim gold at UFC 336. The matchup will serve as the co-main event of the Toronto card on January 30. Islam Makhachev was… -
Islam Makhachev Won’t Defend Welterweight Title Against Carlos Prates at UFC 336Islam Makhachev will not defend his UFC welterweight championship against Carlos Prates at UFC 336, forcing the promotion to change its plans for the upcoming event in Toronto, Canada. The UFC has instead booked Prates to face undefeated… -
UFC 336 Gets Massive Co-Main Event as Carlos Prates Faces Michael Morales for Interim GoldThe rumors were true. The welterweight division will have to move forward without Islam Makhachev for now. During the UFC 333 broadcast, the promotion announced that Carlos Prates and Michael Morales will fight for the interim welterweight…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions