South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 (South Africa UE Q3 2026)
32.63%median
30.5%35.5%
Median 32.63%Middle half 31.98% – 33.25%
Install
Canada unemployment rate in October (Canada UE Oct 2026)
The odds
6.45%median
5.9%7%
Median 6.45%Middle half 6.34% – 6.59%
How the odds have moved
Median: 6.46% on Oct 20, 6.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6.0% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 6.1% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 16.00 | |
| Above 6.2% | 93% | ▼ 1 | 89¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 1.1K |
| Above 6.3% | 87% | 86¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 253 | |
| Above 6.4% | 60% | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 1.5K | |
| Above 6.5% | 42% | 37¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 60.00 | |
| Above 6.6% | 23% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 1.5K |
| Above 6.7% | 9% | 4¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 13.00 | |
| Above 6.8% | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| Above 6.9% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 156 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›- Was It a Good Jobs Report or a Bad One?A one-time tax on the super wealthy is an important step toward greater equality. How can we fund universal childcare, Medicare for All, and a green economy while reducing inequality? A new plan shows how taxing wealth and corporate…
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Galaxy Payroll Group (NASDAQ:GLXG) Stock Falls 3% – Time to Sell?Posted by Michael Walen on Oct 25th, 2026 Galaxy Payroll Group Limited (NASDAQ:GLXG – Get Free Report)’s share price dropped 3% on Friday. The stock traded as low as $0.85 and last traded at $0.8709. 3,584 shares traded hands during… -
Labor Department 'bulk dropped' 22K unemployment claims' protestsThe New York Department of Labor headquarters at the W. Averell Harriman State Office Campus in Albany. The department recently “bulk dropped” more than 20,000 unemployment insurance claims protests filed by employers without reviewing the… -
Arizona September jobs report: Flat statewide, but some regions struggleArizona lost just 300 jobs in September — basically flat. But Flagstaff is down nearly 4% annually, while Phoenix keeps growing. Here's a look inside the numbers. The fallout of the murder of 33-year-old Robert McCartney, a father-of-two… -
3 thoughts: No. 21 USC 85, SDSU 68 … the payroll, Elzie Harrington’s emergence and Latrell Davis’ shoulderThree thoughts on San Diego State’s 85-68 loss against No. 21 USC in an exhibition Friday night at Viejas Arena: Coach Brian Dutcher and his players remained calm, or at least gave the impression that they are. It was only an exhibition… -
Dow Jones Futures Due For Doom-And-Bloom Market; Microsoft, Google, Amazon Earnings AheadThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq are below key levels, but many non-AI stocks are flashing buy signals. Microsoft, Google, Amazon loom. Oops, something went wrong Dow Jones Futures Due For Doom-And-Bloom Market; Microsoft, Google, Amazon Earnings… - Dow Jones Futures Loom; Microsoft, Google, Amazon Earnings Due In Doom-And-Bloom MarketThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq are below key levels, but many non-AI stocks are flashing buy signals. Microsoft, Google, Amazon loom. Oops, something went wrong Dow Jones Futures Loom; Microsoft, Google, Amazon Earnings Due In Doom-And-Bloom…
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Namibia tops small states for unemploymentNamibia records the highest broad unemployment rate among small states (population under five million) with available data, at 52.7% according to Ilostat’s most recent estimates. This persists despite the country’s deep mineral resource… -
Business Briefcase: Hardy, Stewart receive St. Peter's Health Bee awards, unemployment dropsThe Independent Record Javascript is required to use this website. These are the businesses that employ the most people in Montana. Source: Montana Department of Labor Hardy, Stewart receive St. Peter's Bee awards Kaid Hardy and Clarissa… -
Unemployment and poverty pushed us into dangerous underground mining - Atwima Kwanwoma minersSome youth engaged in underground mining in the Atwima Kwanwoma District of the Ashanti Region say unemployment and poverty have forced them into the dangerous activity despite the risk to their lives. According to the miners, many of them… -
Uruguay Unemployment Rate Dips to 7.1%The Uruguay unemployment rate dipped to 7.1% in September 2026, down from 7.2% in August, the national statistics office INE said on Friday 23 October. INE calls the level similar to both the previous month and September 2025, so the… -
Where Young Africans Can't Find Work: Youth Unemployment in Africa, Ranked 2026Djibouti has Africa's highest youth unemployment at 76.8%, with more than three in four young jobseekers out of work. South Africa, Eswatini and Libya follow in this 2026 edition, ranked on ILO modelled estimates for 2025. Djibouti. In the…
Related markets
All jobs ›Germany unemployment rate in October (Germany UE Oct 2026)
6.39%median
5.8%6.9%
Median 6.39%Middle half 6.32% – 6.47%
Russia unemployment rate in September (Russia UE Oct 2026)
2.05%median
1.7%2.6%
Median 2.05%Middle half 1.91% – 2.38%
China unemployment rate in October (China UE Oct 2026)
5.15%median
4.5%5.7%
Median 5.15%Middle half 5.05% – 5.26%
Australia unemployment rate in October (Australia UE 2026)
4.7%median
4.2%5.3%
Median 4.7%Middle half 4.61% – 4.79%
Mexico unemployment rate in October (Mexico UE Oct 2026)
2.73%median
2.5%3.5%
Median 2.73%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions