Number of tornadoes in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Weather › Earthquakes & disasters Closes Nov 30 · $4 today · $50 traded · $50 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

The odds

50.9median
0300
Median 50.9Middle half 33.8 – 73.2

How the odds have moved

Median: 50.8 on Oct 25, 50.9 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 25 88% 70¢ 81¢ $1.23 25.00
Above 50 51% ▼ 19 51¢ 65¢ $1.54 27.00
Above 75 23% 23¢ 56¢ $1.79 3.00
Above 100 13% 13¢ 46¢ $2.17 17.00
Above 200 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00
Above 225 5% ▲ 4 10¢ $10.00 100
Above 250 5% ▲ 4 10¢ $10.00 75.00
Above 275 5% ▲ 4 10¢ $10.00 50.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All earthquakes & disasters ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions