Alaska State Senate winner?
87%Republican party
- Republican party87%
- Democratic party7%
Install
Nevada State Assembly winner?
The odds
95%Democratic party
- Democratic party95%
- Republican party4%
How the odds have moved
Democratic party: 95% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 2.4K | |
| Republican party | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 376 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nevada State Assembly, Nevada Assembly
Search ›-
OPINION: The federal government said 15,903. The answer was zero.You might assume, especially in this day and age, that a Republican and a Democrat would not agree on much. While that may be true in certain political circumstances, we do agree deeply on one thing: Nevadans deserve a full accounting of… -
Got a Minute? Assembly Majority Leader Sandra Jauregui discusses housing, tourism, gun violence prevention in lieutenant governor raceLAS VEGAS (FOX5) — Nevada Assembly Majority Leader Sandra Jauregui is running for lieutenant governor, pointing to a decade in the Legislature and 17 years working in housing policy as she makes affordability the centerpiece of her… - Amodei Calls Flippo a ‘Fraud’ on CNN as Nevada’s GOP Stronghold Turns Competitive Amid Early Voting Edge for DemocratsNevada’s 2nd Congressional District has never elected a Democrat since its creation, but candidate controversies and early voting numbers have made the race unusually competitive By Megan Barth, October 23, 2026 11:45 am Retiring…
-
Daniele Monroe-Moreno running for North Las Vegas mayorLAS VEGAS (KLAS) — Daniele Monroe-Moreno has been in state politics for nearly a decade, serving Nevada Assembly District 1 since winning her first election in 2016. She's done with that now, and she's running for North Las Vegas mayor… -
Letter: Plan for nonpartisan votersI’m the Democratic candidate for Nevada Assembly District 39, and I’m proposing a plan to give nonpartisan voters the opportunity to participate in our party primaries. It’s simple. Registered nonpartisans will receive ballots with… -
False attack ad says Benitez-Thompson backed early release for killersBenitez-Thompson actually helped create new protections for victims of violent crime. Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson did not support the early release of violent criminals from prison, contrary to claims in a new attack ad. The ad is… -
AFSCME members fight to protect Nevada healthcare facility for childrenThe Nevada governor’s misguided decision to close an important psychiatric facility for children is an unnecessary disruption to critical patient care, according to the AFSCME members who work there. Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo’s… -
Republican Drew Teitelbaum running for Nevada Assembly District 2 seatLAS VEGAS (KLAS) — Republican Drew Teitelbaum moved his family to Nevada in 2021. Now he's running to represent Nevada Assembly District 2, a seat that's open with the departure of Republican Heidi Kasama. Teitelbaum faces Democrat Kamilah… -
2026 General Election: Nevada State Assembly District 39I am currently Secretary of the Silver City Citizen Advisory Board, in Silver City, Lyon County. I have served on the Board, primarily as Chair, for a total of fourteen years during the past 20 years. BA (with honors), University of… -
Nevada Assembly Majority Leader Jauregui looking to become next lieutenant governorRENO, Nev. (KOLO) - Nevada Assembly Majority Leader Sandra Jauregui is running for lieutenant governor, highlighting tourism, housing affordability and public safety as her top priorities. Jauregui, a Democrat who has served in the… -
2026 General Election: Nevada Lt. GovernorEditor’s note: Stavros Anthony didn’t respond to requests to participate. I graduated from Sparks High School, attended University of Nevada Reno, and graduated with a BS degree magna cum laude from Brigham Young University. Briefly… -
David Flippo’s campaign is backed by election deniersFlippo touted the endorsement of Richard Mack, a founding member of the Oath Keepers. Republican David Flippo’s congressional campaign is being boosted by 2020 election deniers with ties to extremist far-right groups. Flippo, a former Air…
Related markets
All state & local ›Arizona State Senate winner?
77%Democratic party
- Democratic party77%
- Republican party14%
Georgia State Senate winner?
88%Republican party
- Republican party88%
- Democratic party13%
Iowa State Senate winner?
96%Republican party
- Republican party96%▲ 3
- Democratic party3%
Maine State Senate winner?
94%Democratic party
- Democratic party94%
- Republican party7%
Michigan State Senate winner?
86%Democratic party
- Democratic party86%
- Republican party14%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions