New Hampshire State Senate winner?

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $8 today · $10.9K traded · $3.8K at stake · prices read 20 min ago

The odds

43%Democratic party
  • Democratic party43%
  • Republican party37%

How the odds have moved

Democratic party: 36% on Oct 20, 43% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democratic party 43% 42¢ 43¢ $2.33 13.2K
Republican party 37% 36¢ 38¢ $2.63 14.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Hampshire State Senate

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  • Democrat Cecil Abels ends NH Senate campaign, cites residency lawYahoo News · 7 days agoROCHESTER — Cecil Abels announced he's ending his campaign for the New Hampshire state Senate in District 6, saying he believes he does not meet the residency requirement. Abels, a Democrat known in the community as the owner of MrSippy…
  • CREIGHTON: What I Learned Knocking on New Hampshire DoorsNH Journal · 7 days agoAt a door, nobody’s watching the clock. Nobody’s competing for airtime. It’s just two neighbors talking. That’s what door-knocking does that nothing else can. I’ve knocked on more than 5,000 doors across four campaigns. I can tell you that…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions