Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
76%
75¢
76¢
$1.32
3.9K
Republican party
22%
21¢
22¢
$4.55
5.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Democrats and Republicans both targeting Michigan state House in 2026Ballotpedia News · 12 days agoElections for all 110 districts in the Michigan House of Representatives will take place on Nov. 3, 2026. Ahead of the general elections, Republicans have a 58-52 majority in the chamber. Republicans won a majority in the chamber in 2024…
Horseman better understands Midland voters than SchuetteMidland Daily News · 13 days agoMidland County Republican Chair Cathy Leikhim wrote a response to my letter to the editor (Sept. 24, “Bill G. Schuette has a record of work and service”) discussing the differences between 95th Michigan State House candidates Bill G…
Gov. Whitmer Lowers Flags to Honor Former State Senator John PappageorgeEUP News · 13 days agoLANSING, Mich. – Governor Gretchen Whitmer has ordered U.S. and Michigan flags within the State Capitol Complex to be lowered to half-staff on day, October 13, 2026, to honor and remember former state Senator John Pappageorge. “Senator…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions