Georgia State House winner?

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $526 today · $10K traded · $5K at stake · prices read 31 min ago

The odds

70%Republican party
  • Republican party70%▲ 2
  • Democratic party24%

How the odds have moved

Republican party: 66% on Oct 20, 70% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETRepublican party: 66% → 74%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Republican party 70% ▲ 2 68¢ 71¢ $1.41 10.2K
Democratic party 24% 23¢ 24¢ $4.17 12.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Georgia State House

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  • Georgia House Dist. 161: Bill Hitchens, David DillieThe Current · 42 h agoGeorgia State House of Representatives District 161 covers 59,585 residents in south Effingham and northwest Chatham counties. The House has 180 members. The General Assembly meets for 40 days each year; representatives also serve…
  • Georgia House Dist. 167: Buddy DeLoach, Nathaniel Hicks, Jr.The Current · 43 h agoGeorgia State House of Representatives District 167 covers 59,585 residents in McIntosh, Long, western portions of Liberty and Glynn counties. The House has 180 members. The General Assembly meets for 40 days each year; representatives…
  • Georgia House Dist. 168: Al Williams, Kevin RemillardThe Current · 2 days agoGeorgia State House of Representatives District 168 covers 59,585 residents in Liberty County. The House has 180 members. The General Assembly meets for 40 days each year; representatives also serve year-round on various special committees…
  • Georgia House Dist. 166: Jesse Petrea, Pat DaleyThe Current · 2 days agoGeorgia State House of Representatives District 166 covers 59,585 residents in southeastern Chatham and Bryan counties. The House has 180 members. The General Assembly meets for 40 days each year; representatives also serve year-round on…
  • Georgia House Dist. 164: Ron Stephens, Stephanie BurgessThe Current · 2 days agoGeorgia State House of Representatives District 164 covers 59,585 residents in parts of Bryan and Chatham counties. The House has 180 members. The General Assembly meets for 40 days each year; representatives also serve year-round on…
  • Dems Turn To Vulgar ‘Mommy Vlogger’ In Critical Midterm RaceThe Daily Wire · 12 days agoThe influencer-turned politician once said she wouldn’t be able to “handle” running for office. A self-described “mommy vlogger” with a vulgar social media history is looking to flip a Georgia state House seat long held by Republicans. Six…
  • Nov. 3 election preview: Georgia State House District 26Appen Media · 14 days ago“I Voted” stickers await voters. Georgia House District 26 includes areas south of Cumming, part of the city itself, and stretches north along Lake Lanier. Republican incumbent Lauren McDonald, III is running for re-election and describes…
  • Warnock endorses local Democratic candidatesOconee Enterprise · 13 days agoOconee Enterprise Senator Reverend Raphael Warnock (D-GA) has endorsed three Democratic candidates running to represent Oconee County citizens in competitive Georgia State House and Senate races.Senator Reverend Warnock said he is…
  • Atlanta Press Club & Georgia Public Broadcasting Host Debate Series, Starting with Lt. GovernorThe George-Anne Media Group · 13 days agoWSB-TV’s Karyn Greer served as the moderator for the Lt. Governor Debate on Oct. 12, hosted by the Atlanta Press Club. Sophie Antell and Daniela Medina-Gonzalez watch the Lt. Governor debate from the media room, hosted at the Georgia…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions