Who will release a new song this year? (2026)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Jan 8, 2027 · $6 today · $39.5K traded · $22.9K at stake · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

97%Fall Out Boy
  • Fall Out Boy97%
  • PARTYNEXTDOOR97%
  • Zara Larsson96%
  • The Weeknd90%
  • Eminem88%
  • Dua Lipa88%
  • Bad Bunny87%
  • The Marías87%
  • Billie Eilish86%
  • Justin Bieber81%
  • Clairo75%
  • Addison Rae72%
14 more
  • NF71%
  • Geese70%
  • Olivia Dean68%
  • Coldplay67%
  • Nicki Minaj65%
  • Shawn Mendes62%
  • Mariah Carey53%
  • Rihanna43%▲ 27
  • Linkin Park42%
  • Kendrick Lamar28%
  • Migos23%
  • Frank Ocean12%▼ 3
  • Daft Punk9%
  • Post Malone3%

How the odds have moved

Fall Out Boy: 97% on Oct 24, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Camilo 99% $1.01 110
✓ Lil Nas X 99% $1.01 3.2K
✓ Ice Spice 99% $1.01 354
✓ Big Sean 98% $1.02 310
Fall Out Boy 97% 57¢ $1.03 4.3K
PARTYNEXTDOOR 97% 96¢ $1.04 241
✓ Tate McRae 96% ▼ 4 $1.04 961
Zara Larsson 96% 94¢ $1.06 298
✓ Justin Timberlake 92% $1.09 2.4K
The Weeknd 90% 4¢ 86¢ $1.16 2.8K
✓ Chappell Roan 90% $1.11 2.4K
Eminem 88% 83¢ 99¢ $1.01 1.8K
Dua Lipa 88% 96¢ $1.04 446
Bad Bunny 87% 2¢ 95¢ $1.05 1.9K
The Marías 87% 91¢ $1.10 516
Billie Eilish 86% 3¢ 84¢ $1.19 2.3K
Justin Bieber 81% 2¢ 81¢ $1.23 2.1K
Clairo 75% 11¢ 81¢ $1.23 752
Addison Rae 72% 5¢ 71¢ $1.41 2.1K
NF 71% 24¢ 71¢ $1.41 2.5K
Geese 70% 75¢ $1.33 2.5K
Olivia Dean 68% 24¢ 64¢ $1.56 1.2K
Coldplay 67% 2¢ 67¢ $1.49 2.3K
Nicki Minaj 65% 74¢ $1.35 2.2K
Shawn Mendes 62% 64¢ $1.56 705
Mariah Carey 53% 2¢ 57¢ $1.75 2.2K
Rihanna 43% ▲ 27 3¢ 32¢ $3.13 4.5K
Linkin Park 42% 8¢ 45¢ $2.22 1.9K
Kendrick Lamar 28% 9¢ 39¢ $2.56 1.6K
Migos 23% 17¢ 96¢ $1.04 2.0K
Frank Ocean 12% ▼ 3 10¢ 14¢ $7.14 4.5K
✓ Roddy Ricch 10% $10.00 381
Daft Punk 9% 4¢ 16¢ $6.25 686
Post Malone 3% 98¢ $1.02 311

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Fall Out Boy, Zara Larsson

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  • Armenia99%▲ 56
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  • France<1%▼ 13
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  • JAY-Z81%▼ 7
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  • Miley Cyrus13%▼ 4
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  • Justin Bieber7%▲ 2
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  • Elton John2%
  • Pink2%
  • Pearl Jam2%
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  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Cardi B2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Ella Langley2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
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KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $13.4K today

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  • Housewife - Tate McRae72%▼ 22
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4 more
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  • Rauw Alejandro100%
  • SZA100%
  • PinkPantheress100%
127 more
  • Cardi B100%
  • Lana Del Rey86%▲ 31
  • Dua Lipa76%▲ 1
  • Don Toliver75%▲ 2
  • Kodak Black72%▲ 5
  • Young Thug68%
  • Kali Uchis57%▼ 1
  • Doechii55%▲ 17
  • Lil Wayne50%▲ 7
  • Lil Uzi Vert49%▼ 2
  • Bad Bunny46%▼ 15
  • Ella Langley44%▲ 1
  • Ice Spice43%
  • 21 Savage41%▼ 26
  • J Balvin39%▼ 1
  • T-Pain38%▲ 2
  • The Weeknd37%▲ 1
  • Charli xcx37%▼ 1
  • Lil Yachty36%▲ 4
  • Anuel AA36%▲ 1
  • Megan Thee Stallion36%▼ 1
  • KAROL G33%▲ 1
  • Drake33%▲ 5
  • Bruno Mars32%▼ 1
  • ROSALÍA32%▲ 6
  • Tyler, The Creator32%▼ 1
  • Sabrina Carpenter31%▼ 1
  • Imagine Dragons30%▲ 22
  • Justin Bieber28%▲ 2
  • The Kid LAROI28%▼ 10
  • Sexyy Red27%▼ 1
  • JAY-Z27%
  • Eminem25%
  • Post Malone25%▲ 2
  • Ozuna25%▼ 1
  • Pharrell Williams24%
  • Nicki Minaj24%▲ 1
  • Doja Cat23%
  • Tyla23%▼ 3
  • Quavo21%▼ 2
  • Jason Derulo20%
  • Leon Thomas19%▼ 1
  • Shaboozey19%▲ 2
  • Billie Eilish18%▼ 2
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again18%▲ 6
  • Calvin Harris18%▼ 2
  • Offset18%▲ 1
  • 2 Chainz17%
  • Kendrick Lamar17%▼ 4
  • Coldplay17%▼ 3
  • Chris Brown17%▲ 1
  • Bryson Tiller17%▲ 1
  • Lil Baby16%▼ 1
  • Guns N' Roses16%
  • The Marías15%▼ 3
  • Lola Young15%
  • Miley Cyrus15%▼ 1
  • Zach Bryan14%▼ 3
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KalshiCloses Dec 30 · $4.1K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions