Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
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Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate? (Feb 1, 2027)
The odds
75%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 73% on Oct 20, 75% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 75% | ▼ 1 | 71¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 2.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: U.S. House and Senate
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🫠 ‘It’s Moron Time, Again’: Trump Secretly Plots to Blow Up the World Economy After the MidtermsHappy Friday… Swin here. We’re in the closing days of the extraordinarily high-stakes 2026 midterms, and if Donald Trump and the Republican Party lose control of the U.S. House and Senate in an electoral “bloodbath,” they will largely have… -
Statehouse beat: Elections remain unpredictable thingsThis is white-knuckle time for candidates in the November general election. Sure, polling numbers nationally point to a likelihood of substantial gains for Democrats in the U.S. House and Senate, and polling shows that a majority of West… -
Democratic Rep. DelBene says cost of living could help flip the US HouseAs the 2026 midterm elections approach, Democrats are hoping voter frustrations with the cost of living and an unpopular war in Iran will help them win back control of both the U.S. House and Senate. Washington’s 1st District Rep. Suzan… -
Will your federal candidates take humane action? 6 questions you can ask to find out.Candidates for federal office are out on the campaign trail for the home stretch of the 2026 election season. Now, more than ever, we’re asking animal advocates to raise their voices for animals who cannot engage in the civic process… -
RNC chair looks to squash Nebraska’s independent experimentOMAHA — Republican National Committee Chair Joe Gruters sipped a vanilla latte at Rally Coffee Co. in a state where he hadn't expected to spend time at the beginning of the midterm cycle. "But I love Nebraska," Gruters quickly told the… -
DOJ sending election monitors to seven Michigan communities, including one in Macomb CountyBy Kyle Davidson, Michigan Advance After sending federal monitors to three Michigan cities for the primary election, the U.S. Department of Justice will once again send monitors to observe elections on Nov. 3, according to state officials… -
Winklevoss PAC enters Texas Senate race with $81K ad spendingA Winklevoss-backed super PAC tied to Gemini co-founders has increased its political spending ahead of the 2026 midterms, targeting Senate races in Texas, Ohio and beyond, according to a Federal Election Commission (FEC) filing reported… -
Trump brings star power to Sioux City as Iowa Republicans make final midterm pushSIOUX CITY, IA — Before President Donald Trump took the stage on Wednesday evening, a video played across the venue, declaring, “So God made Trump.” As the video came to an end, Trump took the stage to chants of “USA,” greeted by thousands… -
Trump headlines Iowa rally Thursday on tour of states with tight racesDonald Trump’s midterm travel blitz will continues, with the president headlining rallies in Iowa and several other states hosting hard-fought Senate contests seen as toss-ups. Trump began his October campaign road trip in GOP-friendly… -
DOJ to send election monitors to seven Michigan communitiesAfter sending federal monitors to three Michigan cities for the primary election, the U.S. Department of Justice will once again send monitors to observe elections on Nov. 3, according to state officials. Michigan Attorney General Dana… -
We’re so close to the finish line! Your GNR for Thursday, Oct. 22nd.I had a long, well thought out intro in my first draft and a complete diary ready to go and somehow it didn’t save. The entire thing- hours of work- just gone. So now I’m scrambling at the last minute to throw something up so I apolgize… - Why — and if — UF students are voting in midterm electionNationally, the races could determine who gets control over the U.S. House and Senate. Update your Zip Code - On Air Now Playing WUFT 89.1/90.1 FM HD1 - On Air Now Playing GHQ FM - WUFT HD3 Why — and if — UF students are voting in midterm…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions