Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Miley Cyrus
43%
42¢
43¢
$2.33
178
Ariana Grande
39%
40¢
$2.56
153
Tate McRae
27%
23¢
31¢
$3.23
10.00
Alex Warren
27%
23¢
31¢
$3.23
8.00
beabadoobee
24%
20¢
28¢
$3.57
9.00
Addison Rae
23%
19¢
27¢
$3.70
Bruno Mars
21%
17¢
25¢
$4.00
1.00
Zach Bryan
20%
16¢
23¢
$4.35
10.00
Tame Impala
20%
19¢
20¢
$5.00
32.00
Olivia Rodrigo
18%
17¢
19¢
$5.26
799
Ella Langley
17%
▲ 1
16¢
17¢
$5.88
200
Justin Bieber
16%
▼ 1
12¢
20¢
$5.00
112
Tyler, the Creator
16%
12¢
20¢
$5.00
Megan Moroney
16%
12¢
19¢
$5.26
Travis Scott
14%
10¢
18¢
$5.56
BLACKPINK
13%
9¢
17¢
$5.88
Chappell Roan
13%
9¢
17¢
$5.88
Laufey
13%
9¢
17¢
$5.88
Clipse
8%
4¢
12¢
$8.33
Lady Gaga
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
GloRilla
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
The Weeknd
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
Harry Styles
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
32.00
Sabrina Carpenter
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
Benson Boone
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.50
Playboi Carti
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.50
HAIM
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.50
Turnpike Troubadours
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
2.00
Cardi B
4%
7¢
$14.29
94.00
sombr
3%
6¢
$16.67
6.00
Doja Cat
3%
5¢
$20.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Is SNL New Tonight (October 24, 2026)? Host, Musical Guest, Episode DetailsTVLine · 3 days agoTVLine Is SNL New Tonight (October 24, 2026)? Host, Musical Guest, Episode Details The backlash began shortly before "Saturday Night Live" took a break. As of this writing, neither NBC nor the show has publicly responded to the…
Ariana Grande swaps her signature ponytail for a retro ‘Betty Boop bob’EasternEye · 3 days agoCelebrity hairstylists share how to recreate the look at home The singer and actress recently showcased a sleek, shoulder-length brunette cut Ariana Grande is giving her signature ponytail a break with a fresh hairstyle that puts a…
Miley Cyrus’ new lyrics spark questions about her sister NoahHolly Chatter · 3 days agoMiley Cyrus’ new album gives listeners plenty to unpack, but Innocent Ways stands out. The song appears to address a younger sister, though Miley never names Noah Cyrus or confirms the subject. The connection is understandable. Noah, 26…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions