Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4%December 31
- October 31<1%
- December 314%▼ 1
Install
When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved? (Before 2040)
The odds
75%Before 2040
- Before 204075%
- Before 203565%▼ 1
- Before 203050%
- Before 202941%▲ 3
- Before 202832%
- Before 202710%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before 2040: 71% on Oct 19, 75% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2040 | 75% | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| Before 2035 | 65% | ▼ 1 | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 1.00 |
| Before 2030 | 50% | 45¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 74.00 | |
| Before 2029 | 41% | ▲ 3 | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 849 |
| Before 2028 | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 1.5K | |
| Before 2027 | 10% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Riemann Hypothesis
Search ›-
AI Proved the Quasi-Riemann Hypothesis. What Happens Now?The Riemann hypothesis is a fundamental statement about the distribution of prime numbers. The Riemann hypothesis has been an open problem for over 160 years. Resolving it would enable mathematicians to better understand the nature of… -
SK Telecom teams with researchers to tackle complex math problems using AISouth Korea’s SK Telecom announced on Oct. 22 that it has teamed up with leading domestic researchers to improve the mathematical reasoning capabilities of its proprietary AI foundation model, A.X K2. The Seoul-based telecom company noted… -
SK Telecom Teams With Seoul National, KAIST to Boost AI Math ReasoningResearchers to Tackle Unsolved Math Problems Using A.X K2 Model SK Telecom said on the 22nd that it would hold a technology exchange session with professors and researchers from Seoul National University and KAIST at its headquarters in… - OpenAI's Mathematical Breakthrough: How AI Could Transform Science, Finance, and CybersecurityOpenAI has published hundreds of mathematical research papers generated by its in-house artificial intelligence model. This isn’t about the usual solving of equations or helping students with homework, but rather about results in complex…
-
The Best Time to Study Math Is Right Now. Here Is the Framework That Proves It.AI just solved a Millennium Prize problem and dumped 722 machine-generated proofs on GitHub. MIT math students are in … The Best Time to Study Math Is Right Now. Here Is the Framework That Proves It. AI just solved a Millennium Prize… -
OpenAI released 722 math papers at once and mathematicians are freaking outThe "romantic" age of mathematics might be over. Earlier this week, OpenAI published a trove of hundreds of mathematical results it claimed could “push the frontier of human knowledge”. Produced largely by an unreleased artificial… -
Is this the ‘mathocalypse’? Why OpenAI’s latest results dump has left mathematicians in shockHome » International » Is this the ‘mathocalypse’? Why OpenAI’s latest results dump has left mathematicians in shock Earlier this week, OpenAI published a trove of hundreds of mathematical results it claimed could “push the frontier of… -
Authorship in the age of AIOpenAI has released more than 720 working papers that collect mathematical advances put together with very little time, a lot of money, and some "mathematical assistants (AI)" that are a marvel. Once everything is duly verified, we will be… -
What If Number Theory Is Natively 3D Mechanism?## A 3D Double-Cone Perspective on Zeta, Primes, and the Origin of Torus By Supat Charoensappuech, in collaboration with DeepSeek V4 (October 13, 2026) (Generated by Grok 4) This article does not claim to present a proven theory or a final… -
OpenAI pushes AI-generated proof toward Riemann Hypothesis breakthroughMathematicians hail it as the most significant advance in 100 years According to the international journal Science on the 13th (local time), among more than 700 AI-generated mathematics papers that OpenAI released on the 6th, a paper… -
[Sci-Tech NOW] KAIST develops time-limited semiconductor encryption with dual-state transistorDongA Science ■ KAIST announced on the 14th that a team led by Professor Kyungmin Kim in the Department of Materials Science and Engineering has developed a “Dual-State Programmable Oxide Transistor (DUPOT)” that can independently control… -
Proving the Big Bang, the entire mathematics community is upended, and AI has pushed Terence Tao to bring forth "Mathematics 2.0"On October 9 this year, a lecture delayed by one full year was held at Beckman Auditorium, California Institute of Technology. The person standing on the stage is Terence Tao, Fields Medal laureate. The original title was "Machine-Assisted…
Related markets
All science ›Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
Mar 31, 2027even chance by
- March 31, 202750%▼ 2
- June 30, 2027?77%▼ 2
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
35%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20263%
- December 31, 202714%
- December 31, 202835%
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
Nov 28, 2027even chance by
- June 30, 202714%
- September 30, 202727%
- December 31, 202764%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
52%Before 2040
- Before 204052%▲ 1
- Before 203548%
- Before 203030%
Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
4%chance▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions