Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%▼ 1
- Republican Party10%
Install
Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 19, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | 757 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Don Bacon
Search ›-
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - Press Release: Bacon, Fitzpatrick and Gluesenkamp Perez Introduce Bill to Block Russian Oil Imports and Support UkraineBipartisan lawmakers propose a bill to block Russian oil imports, enforce sanctions, and maintain intelligence support for Ukraine. Lawmakers propose new Russia oil sanctions bill: Reps. Don Bacon, Brian Fitzpatrick and Marie Gluesenkamp…
-
17 House Members Pledge to Defend State Certification “From Outside Interference” as Trump Says He Ordered DOJ to SueRep. Mike Johnson, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons Seventeen House Republicans and Democrats have signed a letter pledging to defend state certification of the midterm results and to seat every certified winner. Rep… -
Bipartisan US Lawmakers Push Back On Trump's Russia Policy, Vow Support For UkraineWASHINGTON -- A bipartisan group of US lawmakers is stepping up efforts to defend Ukraine, challenging President Donald Trump’s decision to ease restrictions on Russian energy imports and demanding guarantees that Kyiv will retain access… -
Rep. Don Bacon blasts Dan Osborn over ‘anti-Jewish’ adBacon, a moderate Nebraska Republican: ‘I reject the anti-Jewish and anti-Israel messaging. [Nebraska] is better than this’ Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) talks with reporters in the Capitol Visitor Center on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Rep. Don… -
Bills aimed at rebuffing Trump’s Russia waivers filed in HouseA bipartisan coterie of House members unveiled legislation this week that would undo President Donald Trump’s recent authorization of U.S. purchases of Russian energy — and prevent future such moves. The bill, sponsored by Rep. Brian… -
Republicans Threaten To Tank Trump Nominees If He Doesn’t Reverse Course On UkraineA growing list of Republicans in congress have joined in with Democrats questioning how much influence Trump had on Starlink restrictions in Ukraine. Republican lawmakers are threatening to block President Donald Trump’s nominees and… -
Gottheimer announces bipartisan election security measures ahead of early voting in New JerseyFORT LEE, N.J. (Bergen County) — U.S. Rep. Josh Gottheimer announced new bipartisan legislation Friday aimed at strengthening protections for election workers, ballot drop boxes and the peaceful transfer of power as New Jersey prepares to… -
Congress hits Russia, but Trump gets the sharper toolCongress has approved a hard-edged Russia sanctions bill that would hand Donald Trump new leverage to punish Moscow and the countries helping keep its war economy alive, setting up a fresh fight over how much power the president should… -
Pentagon AI Oversight Office Stumbles While Department Ambitions Race AheadThe Pentagon office assigned in 2022 to oversee the military’s responsible use of artificial intelligence remained severely understaffed as the department pushed to accelerate AI development. As of February 2026, just three of the office’s… -
US lawmakers urge Trump to ask Musk to provide Ukraine with Starlink for strikes on Russian ballistic missile launchersДолучайтеся до клубу УП! A bipartisan group of nearly two dozen members of the US House of Representatives has urged President Donald Trump to ask Elon Musk to give Ukraine access to Starlink systems to target missile launchers on Russian… -
Republican backlash over Russia policy poses challenge for Trump in CongressWASHINGTON: US President Donald Trump's moves in recent weeks to ease economic pressure on Russia while stepping up criticism of Ukraine have triggered bipartisan opposition in Congress, potentially complicating his agenda after next…
Related markets
All house ›NC-13 House Election Winner
68%Brad Knott (R)
- Brad Knott (R)68%▼ 11
- Paul Barringer (D)32%▲ 10
MN-05 House winner?
94%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar94%▼ 1
- John Nagel5%▲ 1
- DeVelle Jackson1%
TX-15 House winner? (2026)
86%Bobby Pulido
- Bobby Pulido86%▼ 1
- Monica De La Cruz15%▲ 4
NC-13 House winner?
69%Brad Knott
- Brad Knott69%▼ 11
- Paul Barringer32%▲ 11
NC-03 House winner?
65%Greg Murphy
- Greg Murphy65%▼ 6
- Raymond Smith Jr.35%▲ 7
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions