Where will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?
26%New York City
00
Install
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
The odds
60%Oil
- Oil60%
- Coal14%
- Gas6%
- Traditional biomass3%
- Nuclear3%
- Hydropower3%
- Solar3%
- Other renewables3%
- Modern biofuels3%
- Wind2%
How the odds have moved
Oil: 62% on Oct 20, 60% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil | 60% | 59¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 51.2K | |
| Coal | 14% | 13¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 5.0K | |
| Gas | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 6.3K | |
| Traditional biomass | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 5.4K | |
| Nuclear | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 20.2K | |
| Hydropower | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 7.8K | |
| Solar | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 28.8K | |
| Other renewables | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 7.5K | |
| Modern biofuels | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 6.9K | |
| Wind | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 9.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)? (Oct 24 – Oct 25, 2026)
27%New York City
00
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
49%3
- 349%▲ 32
- 423%▲ 20
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- more than 510%▲ 8
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16%Magnitude of at least 6.6
6.407.20
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
98%more than 13
- more than 1398%▲ 10
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6 more
- ≤6<1%
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- 10<1%▼ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions