Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$285,965median
$175,000$375,000
Median $285,965Middle half $263,426 – $308,182
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Will Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY? (2026)
The odds
80%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 67% on Oct 20, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80% | 79¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 30.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio
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Heidi Klum session used animal from Ohio farmCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Terry Thompson's… -
Ohio Sheriff Investigating Punch on Female Heckler at Trump RallyOct 24, 2026 at 04:51 PM EDT An Ohio sheriff is investigating three men after a woman was tackled and punched while heckling President Donald Trump at a rally in Youngstown earlier this month. No one has been charged, despite video that… -
WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama campaigns with Ohio Democrats in ClevelandFormer President Barack Obama speaks at a Cleveland campaign rally to support Ohio Democrats including former Senator Sherrod Brown. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama campaigns with Ohio Democrats in Cleveland Former President Barack Obama speaks… -
Ohio high school football scores for October 23, 2026October 23, 2026 / 9:41 PM EDT / CBS/AP The Ohio high school football season continues on Friday with Week 10. This story will have the latest scores from around Ohio, so be sure to check back for updates. Anna 29, Versailles 22 Athens 14… -
Ohio mother gets life in prison for microwave baby deathMay 20, 2011 / 3:29 PM EDT / CBS News (CBS/AP) DAYTON, Ohio - An Ohio woman convicted of killing her month-old baby daughter in a microwave oven was spared the death penalty and sentenced Friday to life in prison without parole. Montgomery… -
Josh Pate makes surprising Ohio State College Football Playoff admission"Man, I'm on the bus with it," Pate said when the conversation turned to the possibility of Ohio State missing the College Football Playoff. "If they were churning out yards in the run game, and frankly this is a problem for a lot of teams… -
Former President Obama rallies with Democratic nominees in Ohio amid electionsFox News reporter Alexandria Hoff joins 'Fox Report' to discuss former President Barack Obama's Ohio campaign visit, voter reactions and the state's Senate and gubernatorial races. Former President Obama rallies with Democratic nominees in… -
Ohio father charged with killing sheriff deputy found guiltyBREAKING: Ohio father charged with killing sheriff deputy found guilty An Ohio father accused of mowing down a deputy with his car hours after he viewed body camera video of a Cincinnati police officer fatally shooting his son was found… -
1978 court documents shed light on explosive Ohio political adBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The documents… -
Ohio toddler and grandparents found dead in suspected murder-suicidePolice found Kozzar Lotut, who was just 22 months old, Melissa Campbell, 51, and Gale Sanders, 67, deceased with apparent gunshot wounds in Gnadenhutten, Ohio. Ohio toddler and grandparents found dead in suspected murder-suicide Police… -
Obama Tests His Midwest Magic With Michigan, Ohio Stops for El-Sayed, BrownOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Former President Barack Obama returns to Michigan and Ohio on Saturday to test his enduring political pull in two crucial Rust Belt states where he won two decisive victories, entering the fray just 10 days… -
Ohio high school football scores for Week 10 in Columbus areaWhich central Ohio high school football teams won in Week 10 of the 2026 OHSAA season? See the scores below, and check out our Oct. 23 live blog for coverage of East at Linden-McKinley and Gahanna Lincoln at Pickerington North. This will…
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All jobs ›US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
573,404median
250,000650,000
Median 573,404
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
0.78%median
-2%3%
Median 0.78%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k7%▼ 3
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k4%▼ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k4%▼ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above4%▼ 1
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
32,143median
-150,000150,000
Median 32,143
China unemployment rate in October (China UE Oct 2026)
5.15%median
4.5%5.7%
Median 5.15%Middle half 5.05% – 5.26%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions