Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
Install
Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY? (2026)
The odds
87%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 87% on Oct 20, 87% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 87% | 86¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 3.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York
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New York Giants activate Paulson Adebo; elevate Jalin HyattThe New York Giants made several roster moves on Saturday ahead of their Week 7 road matchup against the Houston Texans. The team activated cornerback Paulson Adebo from injured reserve (IR). Adebo had been designated for return and… -
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Game Day ForecastThe New York Jets are at home in East Rutherford, New Jersey today. They will be taking on the Miami Dolphins. The game is scheduled to start shortly after 1:00 pm EDT. - New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Game Day Forecast Game time: Fast… -
Houston Texans to Face Shorthanded New York Giants on SundayRiding a wave of momentum against a decimated New York defense, Houston looks to ignite another late-season surge and keep their unlikely playoff aspirations alive this Sunday. Riding a wave of momentum against a decimated New York… -
Cardi B Attends KATSEYE’s New York Concert With DaughtersCardi B brought daughters Kulture and Blossom to the concert after previously declaring her love for the group and "Hootie Frutti." Cardi B brought daughters Kulture and Blossom to KATSEYE’s New York concert on Saturday night (Oct. 24)… -
New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victimsCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victims Trump, Obama make Senate campaign stops in opposite… -
New York's archdiocese, survivors of clergy abuse agree to $800 million settlementThe Archdiocese of New York and attorneys for about 1,300 parishioners who said they were sexually abused by clergy have agreed to an $800 million settlement of their legal claims, the second-largest involving a Catholic archdiocese in the… -
First Alert Weather: Sun and clouds Saturday in New York - 10/24/26CBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change First Alert Weather: Sun and clouds Saturday in New York - 10/24/26 First Alert Weather: Near normal temps Saturday in New York… -
New York archdiocese finalizing $800m settlement with clergy sex abuse survivorsAgreement with more than 1,300 victims of clergy members and lay leaders would resolve long legal fight The Catholic archdiocese of New York is finalizing a settlement for at least $800m with more than 1,300 people who said they were… -
New York Giants downgrade Jevon Holland, Theo Johnson to outThe New York Giants announced on Saturday that safety Jevon Holland and tight end Theo Johnson have been downgraded to out for Sunday's Week 7 game against the Houston Texans. Holland, who had been listed as questionable with a concussion… -
First Alert Weather: Freezing temps overnight for some parts of New York - 10/24/26CBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change First Alert Weather: Freezing temps overnight for some parts of New York - 10/24/26 Trump, Obama make Senate campaign stops in… -
America’s billionaire boom: Florida gains on New York as California dominates top 10Florida is minting billionaires at a blistering pace — and is now just 15 deep pockets away from overtaking the Empire State. But ahead of No. 2 New York and No. 3 Florida, California still reigns supreme as the land of billionaires with… -
Archdiocese of New York agrees to $800 million settlement over sexual abuse claimsSt. Patrick's Cathedral in Manhattan, the seat of the Archdiocese of New York, holds mass on April 21, 2025, in New York. Yuki Iwamura/AP hide caption The Archdiocese of New York has agreed to pay $800 million to settle the claims brought…
Related markets
All jobs ›US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
570,238median
250,000650,000
Median 570,238
Unemployment in October (Oct 2026)
4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.15%Middle half 4.08% – 4.23%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k10%▲ 7
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
10%5.0%
4.5%13%
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
50%Above 2.0%
-2%3%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions