Arkansas broiler production in 2026
7.94median
7.408.60
Median 7.94Middle half 7.85 – 8.06
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Who will be the world's second trillionaire? (Before Jan 1, 2033)
The odds
21%Jeff Bezos
- Jeff Bezos21%▲ 1
- Mark Zuckerberg19%
- Jensen Huang10%▲ 1
- Larry Page9%▲ 1
- Sergey Brin5%▲ 1
- Michael Dell5%▲ 1
- Larry Ellison4%
- Bernard Arnault & family4%
- Warren Buffett4%
- Steve Ballmer4%
- Sam Altman3%
- Changpeng Zhao1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | 21% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 6.2K |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 19% | 17¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 10.2K | |
| Jensen Huang | 10% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 3.9K |
| Larry Page | 9% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 8.0K |
| Sergey Brin | 5% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 838 |
| Michael Dell | 5% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 724 |
| Larry Ellison | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 542 | |
| Bernard Arnault & family | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.3K | |
| Warren Buffett | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.5K | |
| Steve Ballmer | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.1K | |
| Sam Altman | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 6.8K | |
| Changpeng Zhao | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.