NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 5 Finishers (2026 NASCAR Xfinity 500)

Kalshi Sports › F1 & racing Closes Nov 8 · $551 today · $551 traded · $551 at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

54%Denny Hamlin
  • Denny Hamlin54%
  • Ryan Blaney49%
  • Joey Logano43%
  • Kyle Larson41%
  • Chase Elliott39%
  • Christopher Bell36%
  • William Byron35%
  • Chase Briscoe30%
  • Ty Gibbs25%
  • Josh Berry18%
  • Tyler Reddick17%
  • Bubba Wallace15%
25 more
  • Ross Chastain14%
  • Austin Cindric14%
  • Ryan Preece10%
  • Carson Hocevar10%
  • Alex Bowman9%
  • Brad Keselowski7%
  • Chris Buescher7%
  • Austin Dillon5%
  • Shane van Gisbergen5%
  • Daniel Suarez5%
  • AJ Allmendinger4%
  • Cole Custer4%
  • Todd Gilliland4%
  • Michael McDowell4%
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.4%
  • Erik Jones4%
  • John Hunter Nemechek4%
  • Austin Hill4%
  • Noah Gragson4%
  • Riley Herbst4%
  • Zane Smith4%
  • Connor Zilisch4%
  • Ty Dillon3%
  • Cody Ware1%
  • Josh Bilicki1%

How the odds have moved

Denny Hamlin: 49% on Oct 26, 54% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Denny Hamlin 54% 50¢ 57¢ $1.75 383
Ryan Blaney 49% 45¢ 52¢ $1.92 235
Joey Logano 43% 41¢ 45¢ $2.22
Kyle Larson 41% 38¢ 43¢ $2.33 17.00
Chase Elliott 39% 36¢ 41¢ $2.44 175
Christopher Bell 36% 32¢ 40¢ $2.50
William Byron 35% 32¢ 38¢ $2.63
Chase Briscoe 30% 26¢ 34¢ $2.94
Ty Gibbs 25% 24¢ 26¢ $3.85 215
Josh Berry 18% 14¢ 21¢ $4.76 212
Tyler Reddick 17% 13¢ 21¢ $4.76
Bubba Wallace 15% 14¢ 16¢ $6.25 437
Ross Chastain 14% 10¢ 18¢ $5.56
Austin Cindric 14% 9¢ 18¢ $5.56
Ryan Preece 10% 7¢ 13¢ $7.69
Carson Hocevar 10% 6¢ 14¢ $7.14
Alex Bowman 9% 4¢ 13¢ $7.69
Brad Keselowski 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.00
Chris Buescher 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09
Austin Dillon 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29
Shane van Gisbergen 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 26.00
Daniel Suarez 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
AJ Allmendinger 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
Cole Custer 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
Todd Gilliland 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
Michael McDowell 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Erik Jones 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
John Hunter Nemechek 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Austin Hill 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Noah Gragson 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Riley Herbst 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Zane Smith 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Connor Zilisch 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67
Ty Dillon 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00
Cody Ware 1% 1¢ $100.00 20.00
Josh Bilicki 1% 1¢ $100.00 20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Finishers NASCAR Xfinity, NASCAR Xfinity, Denny Hamlin

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions