MotoGP World Champion (2026)

Kalshi Sports › F1 & racing Closes Dec 14 · $164 today · $31.3K traded · $10.1K at stake · prices read 90 min ago

The odds

83%Marc Marquez
  • Marc Marquez83%▼ 1
  • Jorge Martin6%▼ 2
  • Marco Bezzecchi3%
  • Raul Fernandez1%
  • Ai Ogura1%
  • Alex Marquez1%
  • Francesco Bagnaia1%
  • Enea Bastianini<1%
  • Franco Morbidelli<1%
  • Fabio Quartararo<1%
  • Fabio Di Giannantonio<1%
  • Luca Marini<1%
10 more
  • Joan Mir<1%
  • Toprak Razgatlioglu<1%
  • Johann Zarco<1%
  • Maverick Vinales<1%
  • Jack Miller<1%
  • Brad Binder<1%
  • Alex Rins<1%
  • Pedro Acosta<1%
  • Fermin Aldeguer<1%
  • Diogo Moreira<1%

How the odds have moved

Marc Marquez: 75% on Oct 20, 83% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Marc Marquez 83% ▼ 1 83¢ 86¢ $1.16 34.1K
Jorge Martin 6% ▼ 2 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 27.5K
Marco Bezzecchi 3% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 17.5K
Raul Fernandez 1% 2¢ $50.00 647
Ai Ogura 1% 2¢ $50.00 6.7K
Alex Marquez 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.2K
Francesco Bagnaia 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.0K
Enea Bastianini <1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Franco Morbidelli <1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Fabio Quartararo <1% 1¢ $100.00 359
Fabio Di Giannantonio <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.8K
Luca Marini <1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Joan Mir <1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Toprak Razgatlioglu <1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Johann Zarco <1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Maverick Vinales <1% 1¢ $100.00 100
Jack Miller <1% 1¢ $100.00 54.00
Brad Binder <1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Alex Rins <1% 1¢ $100.00 57.00
Pedro Acosta <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.8K
Fermin Aldeguer <1% 1¢ $100.00 204
Diogo Moreira <1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MotoGP World, Marc Marquez, Jorge Martin

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions