# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
55.22Mmedian
20.00M160.00M
Median 55.22MMiddle half 47.60M – 65.54M
Install
Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
27%Shaquille O'Neal
- Shaquille O'Neal27%▲ 1
- Scarlett Johansson26%
- The Rock21%▲ 1
- Paul George15%
- Timothée Chalamet11%▲ 1
- Dua Lipa11%
- Beyoncé7%
- Selena Gomez6%
- Taylor Swift5%
- Jay-Z3%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal | 27% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 702 |
| Scarlett Johansson | 26% | 13¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 857 | |
| The Rock | 21% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 440 |
| Paul George | 15% | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 3.00 | |
| Timothée Chalamet | 11% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 382 |
| Dua Lipa | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 50.00 | |
| Beyoncé | 7% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 2.00 | |
| Selena Gomez | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 52.00 | |
| Taylor Swift | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.00 | |
| Jay-Z | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Shaquille O'Neal, Scarlett Johansson, The Rock
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.