AL Rookie of the Year Winner (2026 season)

Kalshi Sports › MLB Closes Dec 8 · $54 today · $393K traded · $211K at stake · prices read 11 min ago

The odds

94%Kevin McGonigle
  • Kevin McGonigle94%▲ 1
  • Parker Messick2%
  • Munetaka Murakami1%
  • Trey Yesavage<1%
  • Kazuma Okamoto<1%
  • Tatsuya Imai<1%
  • Carter Jensen<1%
  • Samuel Basallo<1%
  • Connelly Early<1%
  • Chase DeLauter<1%
  • Walker Jenkins<1%
  • Travis Bazzana<1%
18 more
  • Colt Emerson<1%
  • Payton Tolle<1%
  • Brice Matthews<1%
  • Spencer Jones Jr.<1%
  • Lazaro Montes<1%
  • Josue Briceño<1%
  • Carson Williams<1%
  • Max Clark<1%
  • Noah Schultz<1%
  • Hagen Smith<1%
  • George Lombard Jr.<1%
  • Braden Montgomery<1%
  • Sebastian Walcott<1%
  • Gage Jump<1%
  • Emmanuel Rodriguez<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Walbert Ureña<1%
  • Sam Antonacci<1%

How the odds have moved

Kevin McGonigle: 94% on Oct 20, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Kevin McGonigle 94% ▲ 1 94¢ 96¢ $1.04 391.5K
Parker Messick 2% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 249.5K
Munetaka Murakami 1% 2¢ $50.00 365.0K
Trey Yesavage <1% 1¢ $100.00 72.3K
Kazuma Okamoto <1% 1¢ $100.00 150.7K
Tatsuya Imai <1% 1¢ $100.00 25.6K
Carter Jensen <1% 1¢ $100.00 51.9K
Samuel Basallo <1% 1¢ $100.00 92.6K
Connelly Early <1% 1¢ $100.00 19.9K
Chase DeLauter <1% 1¢ $100.00 186.0K
Walker Jenkins <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.2K
Travis Bazzana <1% 1¢ $100.00 80.1K
Colt Emerson <1% 1¢ $100.00 162.4K
Payton Tolle <1% 1¢ $100.00 72.2K
Brice Matthews <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.8K
Spencer Jones Jr. <1% 1¢ $100.00 34.1K
Lazaro Montes <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.00
Josue Briceño <1% 1¢ $100.00
Carson Williams <1% 1¢ $100.00 6.5K
Max Clark <1% 1¢ $100.00 6.7K
Noah Schultz <1% 1¢ $100.00 17.8K
Hagen Smith <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.00
George Lombard Jr. <1% 1¢ $100.00 17.9K
Braden Montgomery <1% 1¢ $100.00 19.2K
Sebastian Walcott <1% 1¢ $100.00
Gage Jump <1% 1¢ $100.00 28.7K
Emmanuel Rodriguez <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.2K
Tie/Co-Winners <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.8K
Walbert Ureña <1% 1¢ $100.00 37.7K
Sam Antonacci <1% 1¢ $100.00 8.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

94%Kevin McGonigle
  • Kevin McGonigle94%
  • Parker Messick2%
  • Munetaka Murakami1%
  • Kazuma Okamoto<1%
21 more
  • Carter Jensen<1%
  • Samuel Basallo<1%
  • Trey Yesavage<1%
  • Tatsuya Imai<1%
  • Chase DeLauter<1%
  • Connelly Early<1%
  • Carson Williams<1%
  • Dylan Beavers<1%
  • Travis Bazzana<1%
  • Colt Emerson<1%
  • Payton Tolle<1%
  • Walker Jenkins<1%
  • Carlos Lagrange<1%
  • Brice Matthews<1%
  • Spencer Jones<1%
  • Leo De Vries<1%
  • Max Clark<1%
  • George Lombard Jr.<1%
  • Sam Antonacci<1%
  • Gage Jump<1%
  • Tristan Peters<1%
PolymarketCloses Dec 31 · $44 today · $1.7M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: AL Rookie, Kevin McGonigle, Parker Messick

Search ›
  • Looking at Parker Messick’s Breakout 2026 SeasonNew Baseball Media · 16 h agoWe continue our lengthy look at great 2026 MLB breakout stories with Guardians pitcher Parker Messick. Parker Messick was, arguably, the top pitching prospect in the Cleveland Guardians’ system. Now, he has an All-Star nod to his name…
  • White Sox fan favorite 35-HR slugger gets risky $200M contract predictionYahoo Sports · 20 h agoThe Chicago White Sox made the postseason for the first time in a while in 2026, and even won a playoff series, while nearly beating the Cleveland Guardians in the ALDS. While the White Sox didn't win the World Series, it was still a…
  • 5 questions facing Guardians this offseasonMLB.com · 27 h agoCLEVELAND -- The pain behind the end of the Guardians' 2026 season is still fresh. The Rays eliminated Cleveland from the postseason in Game 6 of the American League Championship Series on Monday. Nevertheless, the baseball calendar rolls…
  • 2026 MLB Daily Recap: Messick Nearly Throws No-No, Angels WinNew Baseball Media · 12 h agoGuardians pitcher Parker Messick came so close to Major League Baseball’s first no-hitter since 2024. Still, he pitched very well for a Guardians team that picked up yet another win on April 16. And another young pitcher, Chase Dollander…
  • Reds Have a Chance to Make a Big Splash With Japanese SluggerYahoo Sports · 36 h agoThe Cincinnati Reds' outfield left much to be desired offensively in 2026. JJ Bleday was signed to a one-year deal just before the season and, despite a hot start, fizzled out near the end of the year, hitting under .220. TJ Friedl and…
  • Yankees Dealt Bad News on Pursuit of 18-Year-Old, 97-MPH Prospect With DodgersHEAVY · 4 h agoThe New York Yankees and the Los Angeles Dodgers are among the leading suitors for Shoki Oda, an 18-year-old Japanese right-hander. He announced Oct. 15 that he would bypass Japan’s professional draft and pursue baseball in the United…
  • No. 1, not just in our hearts: Will Venable and Chase Meidroth earn Sporting News honorsSouth Side Sox · 18 h agoSouth Side skipper claims AL manager of the year award; second baseman joins league’s All-Star squad The 2026 White Sox broke through the national recognition barrier that has haunted them as a team with a small-market reputation and the…
  • Will Guardians keep Tanner Bibee after shockingly low postseason usage?ClutchPoints · 16 h agoStephen Vogt provided an update on Tanner Bibee's future with the Guardians following his low postseason usage. Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Tanner Bibee made 33 starts during the 2026 regular season. He even started Opening Day…
  • Cincinnati Reds Star Sal Stewart Slighted (again) in Latest Rookie RankingsCincinnati Reds On SI · 40 h agoFeels like we have been here before. Sal Stewart objectively had one of the best rookie campaigns in Cincinnati Reds history, but it feels like many outlets overlook his 2026 season. First, Bleacher Report ranked him the 6th-best rookie in…
  • Phillies MLB Offseason Targets: Teruaki Sato97.5 The Fanatic · 20 h agoFans might remember brief cups of coffee with So Taguchi or Tadahito Iguchi. No Japanese player, though, has ever made his MLB debut after signing a free agent contract with the Philadelphia Phillies. Will Dave Dombrowski reverse the…
  • 2 radical changes Guardians must make to take World Series step after ALCS loss to RaysClutchPoints · 25 h agoThe Guardians made a familiar playoff appearance, but their lack of starting pitching and power must be addressed in the offseason. The Cleveland Guardians had a memorable season once again. Despite a number of struggles for more than four…
  • How does Red Sox veteran stack up among Cy Young Award contenders?Boston Herald · 44 h agoNext month Major League Baseball and the Baseball Writers Association of America will announce the winners of their respective awards, and while the Red Sox don’t have any home run favorites, several standouts are expected to rank among…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.