Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Wyoming Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
35.9median
2448
Median 35.9Middle half 30.4 – 41.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.5 on Oct 20, 35.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hageman, 26+ pts | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 776 | |
| Hageman, 28+ pts | 86% | ▲ 1 | 83¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 105 |
| Hageman, 30+ pts | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 3.1K | |
| Hageman, 32+ pts | 70% | 66¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 335 | |
| Hageman, 34+ pts | 59% | 55¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 200 | |
| Hageman, 36+ pts | 50% | ▲ 1 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 534 |
| Hageman, 38+ pts | 39% | ▼ 1 | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 941 |
| Hageman, 40+ pts | 30% | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 1.2K | |
| Hageman, 42+ pts | 21% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 239 |
| Hageman, 44+ pts | 13% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 567 |
| Hageman, 46+ pts | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 356 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wyoming Senate
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All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
23%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 33.3 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
57median
4272
Median 57Middle half 52.4 – 61.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions