Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Wyoming margin of victory
The odds
32.3median
2252
Median 32.3Middle half 25.9 – 38.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 34.9 on Oct 20, 32.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray, 25+ pts | 78% | ▼ 7 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 730 |
| Gray, 28+ pts | 69% | ▼ 6 | 64¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 415 |
| Gray, 31+ pts | 56% | ▼ 5 | 51¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 202 |
| Gray, 34+ pts | 42% | ▼ 4 | 37¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 204 |
| Gray, 37+ pts | 30% | ▼ 2 | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 254 |
| Gray, 40+ pts | 21% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 389 |
| Gray, 43+ pts | 8% | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| Gray, 46+ pts | 4% | 8¢ | $13.16 | |||
| Gray, 49+ pts | 3% | 6¢ | $18.18 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wyoming
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Wyoming county commissioners oppose Roadless RuleThe Lavender Hills north of the Gros Ventre Road east of Jackson Hole are among 3.2 million acres in Wyoming designated “roadless areas” established by the 2001 Roadless Conservation Rule. JACKSON — The Wyoming County Commissioners… -
Wyoming’s ties to the transgender-rights mailer controversy in Texasby Maggie Mullen, WyoFile Wyoming’s lax business regulations are helping to obscure the source of political mailers in Texas this week that have stirred significant controversy ahead of the midterm elections. The pamphlets, which purport… -
Wyoming Taxpayers Are Paying For Affordable Housing Owned By The Japanese, Gubernatorial Candidate Rebecca Bextel ClaimsThird-party Wyoming gubernatorial candidate Rebecca Bextel told Tucker Carlson during an interview released Saturday that taxpayers of America’s reddest state in particular are being scammed by the development of affordable housing… -
Conservative Gubernatorial Candidate Warns Wyoming Could Become Like Colorado If It Departs From ‘Bread And Butter’ PoliciesThird-party Wyoming gubernatorial candidate Rebecca Bextel told Tucker Carlson during an interview released Saturday that the Republican Party has “imploded” in the state. Neither Bextel nor Barlow immediately responded to the Daily Caller… -
Who is behind the transgender mailers in Texas? Trail leads to WyomingMailers claiming to represent the Texas Transgender Student Union are showing up in mailboxes across the state, raising questions about who's behind them. The I-Team followed the paper trail more than 1,200 miles to an office in Wyoming… -
Guest Column: Dark Money — The Election Integrity Issue Wyoming Voters Care AboutSen. Ed Cooper writes, "Members of the Freedom Caucus – all members of the House who lost their reelects and complained that it wasn’t voters holding them accountable, it was dark money that beat them – instead voted to protect dark… -
Gov. Morrisey announces nearly $9 million water project for Mingo, Wyoming countiesWYOMING COUNTY, WV (LOOTPRESS) – Governor Patrick Morrisey announced Thursday that funding packages have been completed for more than $58 million in water and wastewater infrastructure projects across West Virginia, including a nearly $9… -
Investigation by Wyoming POST finds claims made during local sheriff debate unfounded; legislators look into public records lawGood morning, and welcome to the weekend! Also for today's news via the Wyoming News Exchange, The Ranger in Riverton reports that legislators on the Corporations, Elections, and Political Subdivisions Committee are looking into public… -
School recalibration committee reconsiders bills after Wyoming Supreme Court rulingLawmakers on the Legislature’s Select Committee on School Finance Recalibration listen to testimony June 17, 2025. CHEYENNE — On Wednesday, the Wyoming Legislature’s Select Committee on School Finance Recalibration discussed the impact of… -
Mystery transgender mailers sent to Texas students traced to newly formed Wyoming companyOctober 21, 2026 / 3:11 PM CDT / CBS Texas A flyer addressed to Texas students and sent by what appears to be a fictitious transgender organization can be traced to a newly formed company registered in Wyoming. The mailer, which presents… -
Wyoming congressional delegates endorse Barlow and GrayU.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman listens to a member of her audience during a March 2025 town hall meeting in Afton. U.S. Sens. John Barrasso and Cynthia Lummis, both R-Wyoming. CHEYENNE — Wyoming’s three members of Congress, U.S. Sens. John… -
Legislative Candidate Loses Lawsuit Against University of WyomingRetired University of Wyoming professor Cam Wright, a candidate for the state Legislature, lost his high-profile lawsuit against UW in district court on Wednesday. The judge said that the evidence didn’t pose enough of a factual dispute…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions