Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
Install
West Virginia Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
35.3median
2448
Median 35.3Middle half 30.7 – 39.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 28.7 on Oct 19, 35.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capito, 26+ pts | 92% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 47.00 | |
| Capito, 28+ pts | 87% | 83¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 3.00 | |
| Capito, 30+ pts | 79% | ▼ 1 | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 507 |
| Capito, 32+ pts | 69% | ▼ 1 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 350 |
| Capito, 34+ pts | 56% | ▼ 1 | 52¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 918 |
| Capito, 36+ pts | 47% | ▼ 1 | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 837 |
| Capito, 38+ pts | 33% | 30¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 783 | |
| Capito, 40+ pts | 24% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 1.0K |
| Capito, 42+ pts | 15% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 469 |
| Capito, 44+ pts | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 686 |
| Capito, 46+ pts | 8% | 6¢ | 9¢ | $10.87 | 441 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: West Virginia Senate
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Sen. Oliverio, Del. Williams, and Taylor Richmond highlight education, data center development in 13th District State Senate debateMORGANTOWN, W.Va. — The two major party candidates and the Libertarian Party nominee for the 13th District West Virginia Senate seat have made their pitch ahead of the 2026 General Election on November 3. Incumbent 13th District Senator… -
Bridgeport City Council to consider zoning changes, Cherry Grove developmentBRIDGEPORT, W.Va. — Bridgeport City Council will consider two zoning changes, discuss the Cherry Grove development and review potential changes to the city’s election cycles during its Oct. 26 meeting. The regular meeting is scheduled for… -
Early voting underway in West VirginiaPeople enter the polling location at the Woody Williams Center for Advanced Learning and Careers as early voting for the Nov. 3 primary election begins on Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, at the Huntington Mall in Barboursville. David Eakle, of… -
Election 2026: Tom Takubo, Wes Holden run for State Senate District 17 (full term)This is a composite image from left: State Sen. Tom Takubo and Wes Holden. In the 2026 election, Takubo is the Republican nominee, and Holden is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 17th District. Editor's note: This is one… -
Election 2026: Anne Charnock, Richie Robb run for State Senate District 17 (unexpired)This is a composite image from left: State Sen. Anne Charnock and Richie Robb. In the 2026 election, Takubo is the Republican nominee, and Holden is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 17th District part seat. Editor's… -
Election 2026: Candidates for State Senate District 7; Boone, Logan, Lincoln, KanawhaThis is a composite image of State Sen. Zack Maynard, R-Lincoln, left; Cindy Brake, center; and Shawn Legg, right. In the 2026 election, Maynard is the Republican nominee for the West Virginia Senate 7th District. Brake is the Democratic… -
Election 2026: Lance Wheeler, Kim Hundley run for State Senate District 8 seatThis is a composite image from left: Lance Wheeler and Kim Hundley. In the 2026 election, Wheeler is the Republican nominee, and Hundley is the Democratic nominee for the West Virginia Senate 8th District. Editor's note: This is one in a… -
Early voting begins today in the Eastern PanhandlePending an agreement between South Berkeley Volunteer Fire Company and Berkeley County, this fire hall may be the county's newest early voting site. MARTINSBURG - Early voting for the Nov. 3 general election begins today in the Eastern… -
West Virginia Senate District 2 Democratic Candidate: Chris ClaypoleEditor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. MORGANTOWN, W.Va. — Chris Claypole is the Democratic candidate running against Republican Toby Heaney for the… -
West Virginia Senate District 2 Republican Candidate: Toby HeaneyEditor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. MORGANTOWN, W.Va. — Toby Heaney is the Republican candidate running against Democrat Chris Claypole for the… -
Mitch Carmichael: The 120-day clock that could rewrite your job (Opinion)Imagine negotiating a contract that governs your pay, schedule and benefits, only to have someone outside your workplace decide its final terms. That could happen under the Faster Labor Contracts Act, a proposal before Congress affecting…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions