Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory
The odds
31.1median
1848
Median 31.1Middle half 25.9 – 36.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 33.7 on Oct 19, 31.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore, 21+ pts | 92% | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1.04 | ||
| Moore, 24+ pts | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 200 | |
| Moore, 27+ pts | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| Moore, 30+ pts | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 60.00 | |
| Moore, 33+ pts | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | ||
| Moore, 36+ pts | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 93.00 | |
| Moore, 39+ pts | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| Moore, 42+ pts | 6% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 2.00 | |
| Moore, 45+ pts | 4% | 7¢ | $13.89 | 2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: West Virginia
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West Virginia voters could specify in state Constitution that only citizens may voteVoters in West Virginia’s election will have a choice about an amendment that could change the wording in the state Constitution from saying “Citizens of the state shall be entitled to vote” to “only citizens of the state who are citizens… -
A ‘shining success’ or ’empty promises’: Two years along, West Virginians assess MAHA’s food promisesWest Virginia’s food-dye ban won applause in Washington, but food pantry organizers in the state’s coalfields say the Make America Healthy Again agenda misses what their neighbors need most: clean water, steady jobs and enough to eat. As… -
West Virginia charity begins collecting toys for holiday driveA local organization is diving headfirst into the holiday season to give children across West Virginia a Christmas they'll never forget. The energy of the rally arena has been a pull for Donald Trump as he crisscrosses the country on a… -
West Virginia early voting turnout up 40% from 2022, secretary of state saysCLARKSBURG, W.Va. — Ike Morris spent his life making others … GRAFTON, W.Va. — The Grafton-Taylor County Health Department… West Virginian early voting turnout was 40% higher in the first two days of 2026 than it was during 2022, according… -
How unfirm a foundation, O counties of West VirginiaWest Virginia’s founding math is slowly strangling the most vulnerable parts of the state to death. How unfirm a foundation, O counties of West Virginia West Virginia’s founding math is slowly strangling the most vulnerable parts of the… -
West Virginia Attorney General McCuskey issues subpoenas on environmental groupsThe West Virginia Attorney General's Office subpoenaed at least six environmental groups, asking for records regarding climate change, in a move at least one advocated called a "fishing expedition intended to stifle our collective voice."… -
West Virginia State Police to conduct sobriety checkpoint in East Side Nov. 5FAIRMONT — Officers with the West Virginia State Police will conducting a sobriety checkpoint in Marion County on Nov. 5 in an effort to deter intoxicated driving. Officers will stop drivers on Speedway Avenue in Fairmont from 6 p.m. until… -
West Virginia 2026 Election Results2026 results › West Virginia General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in West Virginia close at 7:30 PM ET. Follow every state live → On… -
Op-ed: The cost of West Virginia’s jobs problem. Here are the numbers.West Virginia's labor force participation rate is 54.5%, last among the fifty states and 8.5 points behind the nation. Here is the part that ought to disarm the partisanship: we have sat at or near the very bottom every year since the… -
‘This is not what I signed up for’: Flock cameras raise privacy concerns across West VirginiaA Flock Safety automated license plate reader stands near Lowe’s in Morgantown, W.Va., Sept. 20, 2026. The cameras capture license plates and other identifying vehicle characteristics as vehicles pass by. MORGANTOWN, W.Va. — Before Olivia… -
West Virginia investigates environmental groups over 'deceptive' climate change advocacyNEW YORK — West Virginia's attorney general has launched a broad investigation of the state's leading environmental groups, demanding a decade of internal records involving "unfair or deceptive acts" in their fundraising and climate change… -
West Virginia secretary of state releases video on voting amendmentProposed Constitutional Amendment: What West Virginia Voters Should Know CHARLESTON, W.Va. — West Virginia Secretary of State Kris Warner has released an informational video explaining the proposed constitutional amendment that will appear…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions