Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
Install
Wisconsin's 8th District margin of victory
The odds
10.9median
027
Median 10.9Middle half 6.19 – 15.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 8.59 on Oct 19, 10.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wied, 3+ pts | 87% | 83¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 20.00 | |
| Wied, 6+ pts | 76% | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.0K | |
| Wied, 9+ pts | 61% | ▼ 1 | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 800 |
| Wied, 12+ pts | 44% | ▼ 1 | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | |
| Wied, 15+ pts | 28% | ▼ 1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | |
| Wied, 18+ pts | 15% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| Wied, 21+ pts | 6% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 219 |
| Wied, 24+ pts | 4% | 8¢ | $13.16 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wisconsin
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How data centers became a bipartisan political issue in WisconsinData centers are a big issue across the country. As midterms approach, many look to the swing state of Wisconsin for lessons for how that issue could play out nationally. How data centers became a bipartisan political issue in Wisconsin… - 'Swing State of the Union' podcast digs deep on issues weighing on Wisconsin votersNPR's Sacha Pfeiffer speaks with Sam Woods and Joy Powers, hosts of WUWM's Swing State of the Union podcast, about the top issues for voters in the swing state of Wisconsin. 'Swing State of the Union' podcast digs deep on issues weighing…
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Wisconsin GOP governor candidate Tiffany ties his 2020 election objection to "Zuckerbucks"October 22, 2026 / 4:40 PM CDT / AP The Republican candidate for Wisconsin governor who supported President Donald Trump's attempts to overturn his 2020 loss in the battleground state said Wednesday he did it because of concerns with… -
Wisconsin Secretary of State Candidate Leans Into IdentityThe Democratic Party’s nominee is focused on two particular groups of residents, and many of them are not citizens. Despite becoming a largely toothless position, however, it still maintains a rather high profile. The Secretary of State is… -
Election 2026: Wisconsin voters reminded to check photo ID requirementsPosted Today At 1:32pm by Tim Kowols With less than two weeks until Election Day, Wisconsin voters are encouraged to make sure they have the proper identification before heading to the polls. The Wisconsin Department of Transportation… -
Wisconsin voters move toward in-person absentee voting ahead of midtermsAs Wisconsin voters prepare for the upcoming Nov. 3 midterm election, the decision to vote in-person absentee has increased, while the decision to send in mail-in ballots has declined, according to Wisconsin Public Radio. Early voting… -
Wisconsin Conservation Congress seeks resolution ideas on natural resources-related issuesMADISON – The Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources reminds Wisconsin residents to submit resolution ideas for natural resources-related issues through Feb. 8, 2027, at midnight. The Wisconsin Conservation Congress is an independent… -
LaHood, Cooke lead fundraising in Illinois, Wisconsin congressional racesCampaign finance records for the yearâs third quarter were due last week, and the fundraising totals in Illinois and Wisconsin show some interesting races as we reach the business end of election season. Campaign finance records for the… -
Wisconsin election 2026: Early in-person voting underwayEarly voting is underway across the country, and one of the most watched races in the nation is for New York City mayor, where 80,000 ballots were cast on the first day. That's a race between Zohran Mamdani, Curtis Sliwa and Andrew Cuomo… -
Wisconsin governor debate reaction; Point TakenDavid Crowley and Tom Tiffany finally shared a debate stage Wednesday night, but Point Taken hosts Steve Scaffidi and Kristin Brey came away wanting more specifics from both candidates. “Light on details,” Brey said while breaking down the… -
All of our voters guide stories to key Wisconsin legislative racesControl of the Wisconsin Legislature is up for grabs in the Nov. 3 election. Democrats, who have been in the minority in both legislative chambers for 15 years, need to flip two Senate seats and five seats in the Assembly to take over as… -
Wisconsin orthopedic surgeon isn't immune to motorcycle crash | Dr. Craig A. DopfDopf lives in Verona. Republican candidate for governor meets with newspaper's editorial board We are two Vietnam veterans who have spent more than 50 years advocating for those who served our country, including fighting for access to he……
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions