Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Wisconsin's 6th District margin of victory
The odds
11.9median
-129
Median 11.9Middle half 6.38 – 17.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 12 on Oct 20, 11.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grothman, 2+ pts | 89% | 85¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 1.1K | |
| Grothman, 5+ pts | 81% | 76¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 1.1K | |
| Grothman, 8+ pts | 68% | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 2.00 | |
| Grothman, 11+ pts | 54% | ▲ 1 | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 41.00 |
| Grothman, 14+ pts | 40% | 35¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 337 | |
| Grothman, 17+ pts | 28% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 2.00 |
| Grothman, 20+ pts | 18% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 603 |
| Grothman, 23+ pts | 8% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 200 |
| Grothman, 26+ pts | 4% | 0¢ | 9¢ | $11.76 | 312 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wisconsin
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Inside the massive data center tearing a Wisconsin community apartThe backlash in Wisconsin to data center construction has the candidates for governor from both parties quickly adjusting their midterms campaign messaging. NPR's Sacha Pfeiffer visits one data center in Port Washington, Wis., which the… -
How data centers became a bipartisan political issue in WisconsinData centers are a big issue across the country. As midterms approach, many look to the swing state of Wisconsin for lessons for how that issue could play out nationally. How data centers became a bipartisan political issue in Wisconsin… - 'Swing State of the Union' podcast digs deep on issues weighing on Wisconsin votersNPR's Sacha Pfeiffer speaks with Sam Woods and Joy Powers, hosts of WUWM's Swing State of the Union podcast, about the top issues for voters in the swing state of Wisconsin. 'Swing State of the Union' podcast digs deep on issues weighing…
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Wisconsin Farmers Union Celebrates Launch of PFAS Testing Grant ProgramsOn October 20, 2026, Governor Tony Evers and the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources announced the launch of two statewide grant programs that p... On October 20, 2026, Governor Tony Evers and the Wisconsin Department of Natural… - Gov. Evers Announces State Building Commission Approves $254 Million in Projects Across WisconsinMADISON - Gov. Tony Evers today announced that the Wisconsin State Building Commission met to approve a total of approximately $254 million in key bui...
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Wisconsin GOP governor candidate Tiffany ties his 2020 election objection to "Zuckerbucks"October 22, 2026 / 4:40 PM CDT / AP The Republican candidate for Wisconsin governor who supported President Donald Trump's attempts to overturn his 2020 loss in the battleground state said Wednesday he did it because of concerns with… -
Wisconsin Secretary of State Candidate Leans Into IdentityThe Democratic Party’s nominee is focused on two particular groups of residents, and many of them are not citizens. Despite becoming a largely toothless position, however, it still maintains a rather high profile. The Secretary of State is… -
Election 2026: Wisconsin voters reminded to check photo ID requirementsPosted Today At 1:32pm by Tim Kowols With less than two weeks until Election Day, Wisconsin voters are encouraged to make sure they have the proper identification before heading to the polls. The Wisconsin Department of Transportation… -
Here are 9 races to watch in Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana in midterm electionVoting booths at a polling location at the Thomasville Library during the last day of early voting in Thomasville, North Carolina, US, on Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The 2026 midterm elections are shaping up to be a hugely consequential battle… -
In western Wisconsin, Democrats seek to flip what was once one of the most moderate congressional districtsFor 26 years, Wisconsin’s Driftless Area was represented in Congress by a moderate Democrat. Through multiple presidencies, including President Donald Trump’s first administration, Ron Kind was considered to be one of the most bipartisan… -
Wisconsin voters move toward in-person absentee voting ahead of midtermsAs Wisconsin voters prepare for the upcoming Nov. 3 midterm election, the decision to vote in-person absentee has increased, while the decision to send in mail-in ballots has declined, according to Wisconsin Public Radio. Early voting… -
Wisconsin Conservation Congress seeks resolution ideas on natural resources-related issuesMADISON – The Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources reminds Wisconsin residents to submit resolution ideas for natural resources-related issues through Feb. 8, 2027, at midnight. The Wisconsin Conservation Congress is an independent…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions