Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
Install
Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
21%Van Orden, 1+ pts
011
How the odds have moved
Van Orden, 1+ pts: 28% on Oct 19, 21% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Orden, 1+ pts | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 200 | |
| Van Orden, 2+ pts | 17% | 12¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | ||
| Van Orden, 5+ pts | 7% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 336 | |
| Van Orden, 8+ pts | 4% | 8¢ | $11.90 | 222 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wisconsin
Search ›-
Deer crashes through apartment window in Appleton, WisconsinCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Deer crashes through… -
Inside the massive data center tearing a Wisconsin community apartThe backlash in Wisconsin to data center construction has the candidates for governor from both parties quickly adjusting their midterms campaign messaging. NPR's Sacha Pfeiffer visits one data center in Port Washington, Wis., which the… -
How data centers became a bipartisan political issue in WisconsinData centers are a big issue across the country. As midterms approach, many look to the swing state of Wisconsin for lessons for how that issue could play out nationally. How data centers became a bipartisan political issue in Wisconsin… - 'Swing State of the Union' podcast digs deep on issues weighing on Wisconsin votersNPR's Sacha Pfeiffer speaks with Sam Woods and Joy Powers, hosts of WUWM's Swing State of the Union podcast, about the top issues for voters in the swing state of Wisconsin. 'Swing State of the Union' podcast digs deep on issues weighing…
-
Wisconsin Rapids Alder Recall Election is TuesdayWISCONSIN RAPIDS, WI (WSAU) — Some voters in Wisconsin Rapids will legally have the chance to vote twice within seven days. The District 7 Alder Recall is tomorrow, October 27th, when voters will decide whether incumbent Michael Timm keeps… -
Wisconsin voters to decide three constitutional amendments this fallMADISON, Wis. (WBAY) - Wisconsin voters will decide candidates and three changes to the state constitution this fall. With three amendments on the ballot, Wisconsin voters will have decided on 12 constitutional amendment questions in the… -
Wisconsin Farmers Union Celebrates Launch of PFAS Testing Grant ProgramsOn October 20, 2026, Governor Tony Evers and the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources announced the launch of two statewide grant programs that p... On October 20, 2026, Governor Tony Evers and the Wisconsin Department of Natural… -
Wisconsin governor candidates campaign across state with 8 days until electionDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - Candidates for Wisconsin governor are making their final push for votes, 8 days from the November midterms. Republican Tom Tiffany and Democrat David Crowley are criss-crossing the state, with both… - Gov. Evers Announces State Building Commission Approves $254 Million in Projects Across WisconsinMADISON - Gov. Tony Evers today announced that the Wisconsin State Building Commission met to approve a total of approximately $254 million in key bui...
-
Who is David Crowley? 5 things to know about the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial candidate2026 Wisconsin Voter Guide | Early Voting | Gubernatorial Debate | AG Debate Democratic nominee David Crowley is seeking to become Wisconsin’s next governor, facing Republican candidate Tom Tiffany in the Nov. 3 election. Crowley is… - Milwaukee archbishop apologizes after video of prayer with Trump circulates (Wisconsin)MILWAUKEE, WI — Milwaukee Archbishop Jeffrey Grob apologized Sunday after video circulated on social media showing him and other bishops praying with President Donald Trump in the Oval Office on Oct. 22. Grob said he was invited in…
-
Here are 9 races to watch in Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana in midterm electionVoting booths at a polling location at the Thomasville Library during the last day of early voting in Thomasville, North Carolina, US, on Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The 2026 midterm elections are shaping up to be a hugely consequential battle…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions