Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Virginia's 7th District margin of victory
The odds
17.1median
232
Median 17.1Middle half 11 – 22.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 17 on Oct 20, 17.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vindman, 5+ pts | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 532 | |
| Vindman, 8+ pts | 83% | 78¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 205 | |
| Vindman, 11+ pts | 75% | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 205 | |
| Vindman, 14+ pts | 66% | ▼ 1 | 63¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 738 |
| Vindman, 17+ pts | 51% | ▼ 1 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 110 |
| Vindman, 20+ pts | 33% | ▼ 1 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 750 |
| Vindman, 23+ pts | 25% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| Vindman, 26+ pts | 17% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| Vindman, 29+ pts | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Virginia
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Man accused of decapitating Iwo Jima WWII statue in VirginiaCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Man charged with… -
Virginia Dems cast doubt on prosecution of colleague after embracing criminal allegations against TrumpFox News correspondent Christina Coleman has the latest on state Sen. L. Louise Lucas, D-Va., as she is being investigated on charges related to an alleged criminal marijuana distribution enterprise on ‘Hannity.’ Virginia Democrats who… -
Virginia should do much more to curb PFAS pollution in our watersBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. If we know pollution… -
Virginia state senator accused of shielding marijuana businessFox News chief Washington correspondent Mike Emanuel reports on the federal indictment against state Sen. L. Louise Lucas, D-Va., on ‘Special Report.’ Virginia state senator accused of shielding marijuana business Fox News chief Washington… -
Virginia Democratic lawmaker accused of running illegal marijuana enterpriseIn Virginia, a state senator is facing federal criminal charges tied to racketeering, drug trafficking, money laundering and other offenses. Louise Lucas is also accused of using her political power to protect a marijuana ring run by her… -
Virginia state senator faces federal bribery and racketeering chargesCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Virginia state senator… -
How the indictment of state Sen. L. Louise Lucas has rippled through VirginiaBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The leading Democratic… -
Federal prosecutors charge top Virginia Democrat in alleged drug, racketeering schemeCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Feds charge L… -
Richmond police investigate Virginia Union University homecoming shootingRichmond police are investigating a shooting that left two men injured near the Virginia Union University campus Saturday night. Guojun Xuan and Silvia Zhang have been charged with conspiracy to commit child abuse after police searched… -
Virginia ThomasGinni Thomas pushed White House to fight 2020 election results. What are the implications? The House Select Committee is looking at thousands of text messages given by former Trum ... Inside the White House with Liz Landers Stand with free… -
Hundreds rally in Richmond to stop Virginia data centersHundreds rallied in Richmond for a data center moratorium, citing rising energy costs and environmental concerns across Virginia. Obama said the election was "the last best chance to at least rein in some of the foolishness of this… -
Virginia election officials take steps to address interference concernsVirginia state and local election officials are taking preventative measures to safeguard Nov. 3 polling places and election results amid concern over the possibility the Trump administration or the president’s allies could interfere in…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions