Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
47.5median
2065
Median 47.5Middle half 42.4 – 51.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.5 on Oct 20, 47.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott, 23+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 100¢ | |||
| Scott, 26+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 100¢ | 5.00 | ||
| Scott, 29+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | |||
| Scott, 32+ pts | 97% | 94¢ | 100¢ | 15.00 | ||
| Scott, 35+ pts | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | 4.1K | ||
| Scott, 38+ pts | 92% | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 405 | |
| Scott, 41+ pts | 82% | ▼ 1 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 800 |
| Scott, 44+ pts | 68% | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 343 | |
| Scott, 47+ pts | 54% | 51¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 100 | |
| Scott, 50+ pts | 32% | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| Scott, 53+ pts | 17% | 12¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | ||
| Scott, 56+ pts | 7% | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| Scott, 59+ pts | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.08 | ||
| Scott, 62+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Virginia
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Man accused of decapitating Iwo Jima WWII statue in VirginiaCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Man charged with… -
Virginia Dems cast doubt on prosecution of colleague after embracing criminal allegations against TrumpFox News correspondent Christina Coleman has the latest on state Sen. L. Louise Lucas, D-Va., as she is being investigated on charges related to an alleged criminal marijuana distribution enterprise on ‘Hannity.’ Virginia Democrats who… -
Virginia should do much more to curb PFAS pollution in our watersBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. If we know pollution… -
Virginia state senator accused of shielding marijuana businessFox News chief Washington correspondent Mike Emanuel reports on the federal indictment against state Sen. L. Louise Lucas, D-Va., on ‘Special Report.’ Virginia state senator accused of shielding marijuana business Fox News chief Washington… -
Virginia Democratic lawmaker accused of running illegal marijuana enterpriseIn Virginia, a state senator is facing federal criminal charges tied to racketeering, drug trafficking, money laundering and other offenses. Louise Lucas is also accused of using her political power to protect a marijuana ring run by her… -
Virginia state senator faces federal bribery and racketeering chargesCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Virginia state senator… -
How the indictment of state Sen. L. Louise Lucas has rippled through VirginiaBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The leading Democratic… -
Federal prosecutors charge top Virginia Democrat in alleged drug, racketeering schemeCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Feds charge L… -
DOJ indicts Virginia Democrat who led redistricting push on drug trafficking, money laundering chargesThe Department of Justice indicted L. Louise Lucas, a long-serving Virginia state Democratic lawmaker who publicly clashed with the White House amid its redistricting push, on drug trafficking and ... DOJ indicts Virginia Democrat who led… -
Virginia ThomasGinni Thomas pushed White House to fight 2020 election results. What are the implications? The House Select Committee is looking at thousands of text messages given by former Trum ... Inside the White House with Liz Landers Stand with free… -
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Glenn Youngkin: This was a 'game-changer' in VirginiaFormer Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin praises President Donald Trump’s school choice tax program on ‘Outnumbered.’ ... Glenn Youngkin: This was a 'game-changer' in Virginia Former Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin praises President Donald Trump’s…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions