Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Utah's 4th District margin of victory
The odds
24.9median
1043
Median 24.9Middle half 16.2 – 33.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.1 on Oct 19, 24.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy, 13+ pts | 83% | ▼ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | |
| Kennedy, 16+ pts | 76% | ▼ 1 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | |
| Kennedy, 19+ pts | 69% | ▼ 1 | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | |
| Kennedy, 22+ pts | 60% | ▼ 1 | 55¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | |
| Kennedy, 25+ pts | 50% | ▼ 1 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 40.00 |
| Kennedy, 28+ pts | 41% | ▼ 1 | 36¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | |
| Kennedy, 31+ pts | 32% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 99.00 |
| Kennedy, 34+ pts | 24% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | |
| Kennedy, 37+ pts | 17% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| Kennedy, 40+ pts | 11% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Utah
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Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio, UtahCongressional candidates Michael LiPetri, Eric Conroy and Riley Owen join 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss generational change in Congress as elections approach. Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio… -
Colorado, Utah contend with heavy floodingCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Several states… -
University of Utah holds soapbox derby for homecomingThe University of Utah held a soapbox derby for homecoming week, with teams comprised of six members competing. By Lisandra Paraguassu, Brendan O'Boyle and Luciana Magalhaes SAO PAULO, Oct 25 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio… -
DOJ is sending election monitors to Utah polls this NovemberUtah Lt. Gov. Deidre Henderson speaks to reporters at the Utah State Capitol, Salt Lake City, Utah, Oct. 22, 2026. The U.S. Department of Justice is sending election monitors to Utah polls to oversee the Nov. 3 elections, Lt. Gov. Deidre… -
Opinion: Utah’s forgotten foster youth deserve a chance at adulthoodEvery year in Utah, hundreds of children move into foster care. Most will find their way home, or into the arms of a relative, or a family that adopts them. But a smaller group, older, quieter, easier to overlook, ages out of the system… -
FBI attempts to question immigrant rights activists in Provo, UtahProvo, UT – On October 23, FBI agent Mitchell Kutterer knocked on the door of Venna Burkhardt, a leader of the grassroots organization People of Provo Against ICE (PoPAI). Burkhardt was not home at the time, but her roommate confirmed that… -
Flash flooding in Utah leaves car, storage unit floatingA Utah woman looked outside before work Thursday and saw her car floating in deep water after thunderstorms brought flash flooding. The ex-wife of Donald Trump Jr, with whom she shares five children, announced in May that she had been… -
What to know about the candidates running for Utah's 3rd Congressional DistrictSALT LAKE CITY — Running in a newly redrawn congressional district that spans nearly all of southern and eastern Utah and parts of the Wasatch Front and Wasatch Back, Rep. Celeste Maloy must fend off five challengers if she wants to win a… -
Judge dismisses DOJ lawsuit against Utah Lt. Gov. Henderson demanding private voter informationLt. Gov. Deidre Henderson speaks during a press conference at the Capitol in Salt Lake City on the final night of the legislative session, Friday, March 6, 2026. A federal judge has dismissed a lawsuit filed by the Trump administration… -
Utah County clerk sent incorrect voting instructions to thousands of residentsUtah County clerk sent incorrect voting instructions to thousands of residents -
As Colorado River battles intensify, lawmakers visit the Central Utah ProjectUPPER STILLWATER DAM, Utah — The golf carts drove eight miles through a dark tunnel buried 3,000 feet under the mountaintop in the Uintas. Lawmakers, local officials and staffers at the Central Utah Water Conservancy District were getting… -
Letter: Utah’s approach to sports betting is at odds with notions of limited government and personal responsibility(Trent Nelson | The Salt Lake Tribune) Sen. Brady Brammer, R-Highland, is shown at the Utah Capitol in Salt Lake City on Friday, Sept. 11, 2026. As a 48-year-old Park City resident and lifelong Republican, I find Utah’s approach to sports…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions