Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
26.5median
1560
Median 26.5Middle half 21.3 – 31.6
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Texas's 34th District margin of victory
The odds
7.31median
-222
Median 7.31Middle half 3.84 – 12.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.21 on Oct 20, 7.31 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalez, 1+ pts | 84% | ▲ 4 | 80¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 458 |
| Gonzalez, 4+ pts | 75% | ▲ 7 | 74¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 1.3K |
| Gonzalez, 7+ pts | 52% | ▲ 5 | 48¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 299 |
| Gonzalez, 10+ pts | 37% | ▲ 8 | 34¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 392 |
| Gonzalez, 13+ pts | 20% | ▲ 4 | 15¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 173 |
| Gonzalez, 16+ pts | 9% | ▲ 2 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Gonzalez, 19+ pts | 5% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.63 | 3.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas
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Crossroads of Texas GO TEXAN Country Festival draws crowdsCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas GO… -
Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country Festival gets underway in WaxahachieCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas Go… -
Baseball bat vendor discusses the draw at the Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country FestivalCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Baseball bat vendor… -
WATCH LIVE: Texas AG Ken Paxton holds campaign event in Selma, TexasTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton rallies supporters during a "Come and Take It" campaign tour stop in Selma, Texas. WATCH LIVE: Texas AG Ken Paxton holds campaign event in Selma, Texas Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton rallies supporters… -
Texas voters cast early ballots in key senate raceIn Texas, early voting is underway. The state's tight race for U.S. Senate will ultimately help decide the balance of power in Washington. Meanwhile, in Texas, early voting in the midterms is underway. The candidates in the U.S. Senate… -
Texas has considered selling beloved state park to SpaceX / Texas MonthlyCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Texas has considered… -
Perfect fall weekend weather in store for North TexasAdd CBS News on Google North Texas was off to a seasonable start on Saturday morning, with temperatures mainly in the 50s. Temperatures will remain above average this weekend, with highs in the lower to middle 80s. Perfect fall weekend… -
North Texas stays warm and dry as drought concerns growSunny skies and highs in the 80s will continue across North Texas over the next several days, with temperatures running 5 to 10 degrees above average in some areas. But the extended stretch of warm, dry weather is raising concerns as… -
DeSoto dominates Cedar Hill in CBS Texas Game of the WeekCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. DeSoto dominates Cedar… -
Texas transgender rights group goes to court over mystery mailersCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Texas transgender rights… -
Trump campaigns for Republicans as early voting surges in TexasPresident Donald Trump campaigned in Florida on Friday to boost Republican turnout ahead of the midterm elections, with stops planned in Georgia and Michigan. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico cast his ballot in the U.S. Senate race… -
Democrat James Talarico targets Elon Musk at rally: ‘Texas is not for sale’The Senate candidate denounced opponent Ken Paxton, calling out corruption allegations and support from Musk James Talarico, the Democratic candidate for the US Senate in Texas, has taken aim at Elon Musk, warning that the tech mogul is…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
18%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.8median
2454
Median 38.8Middle half 33 – 43.7
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.4median
4272
Median 59.4Middle half 54.8 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.