Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Texas's 10th District margin of victory
The odds
11.3median
030
Median 11.3Middle half 3.75 – 18.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 13.1 on Oct 19, 11.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gober, 3+ pts | 78% | ▼ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | |
| Gober, 6+ pts | 68% | ▼ 1 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 13.00 |
| Gober, 9+ pts | 57% | ▼ 1 | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 148 |
| Gober, 12+ pts | 48% | ▼ 1 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 17.00 |
| Gober, 15+ pts | 38% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 202 |
| Gober, 18+ pts | 28% | ▼ 1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | |
| Gober, 21+ pts | 19% | ▼ 1 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 421 |
| Gober, 24+ pts | 12% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Gober, 27+ pts | 7% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas
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Crossroads of Texas GO TEXAN Country Festival draws crowdsCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas GO… -
Texas early voting data trends, what analysts are focusing on in the Texas Senate raceCBS News Sunday Morning CBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm WBZ This Morning 8am CBS News Chicago Sunday7am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm WCCO News Sunday Morning 7am CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA… -
Halloween festivals to be helds across North TexasCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Halloween festivals to be… -
Ted Cruz Booed by F1 Crowd in TexasOct 26, 2026 at 05:36 AM EDT U.S. Senator Ted Cruz received a frosty reception from some at Formula 1's U.S. Grand Prix on Sunday, with boos ringing out as he took to the podium to present the winner’s trophy to Kimi Antonelli. Boos were… -
Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country Festival gets underway in WaxahachieCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas Go… -
Trump, Vance headline separate rallies in Texas this weekWBZ News Weekend 11pm CBS News Chicago Weekends 10pm CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 8pm CBS News New York Weekend 11pm CBS News Philadelphia Weekend 11pm -
Baseball bat vendor discusses the draw at the Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country FestivalCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Baseball bat vendor… -
Black Out Sunday engages 1,000 Texas churches for early votingOctober 25, 2026 / 2:51 PM CDT / CBS Texas Early voting is entering its final week, and North Texas faith leaders are pushing to get congregations to the polls. The Black Out Sunday initiative aims to engage a thousand churches across… -
How Christianity Became a Battleground in the Texas Senate RaceOct 25, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico are making Christianity a defining issue in the home stretch of Texas’ U.S. Senate race, offering sharply different visions of what faith should mean in… -
Voters’ rising ire at corruption plays central role in Texas Senate raceBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The race between Ken… -
Why a Texas Candidate Who Died Weeks Ago Could Still Win ElectionOct 25, 2026 at 11:39 AM EDT A Texas judicial candidate who died in September will remain on the ballot for the November 3 election, meaning he could still win despite having died weeks before voters head to the polls. Richard Davis, the… -
Body of Texas deputy to be escorted to Canton; community holds fundraiser for grieving familiesThe Van Zandt County Sheriff's Office will escort Adam Sherifi's body via procession from the Dallas County Medical Examiner's Office and travel to the Eubank Funeral home in Canton, where Sherifi will be laid to rest. Body of Texas deputy…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions