Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Tennessee's 7th District margin of victory
The odds
14.3median
131
Median 14.3Middle half 6.57 – 22.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 15.2 on Oct 19, 14.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epps, 4+ pts | 84% | ▼ 1 | 80¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 145 |
| Epps, 7+ pts | 74% | ▼ 1 | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | |
| Epps, 10+ pts | 64% | 59¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 355 | |
| Epps, 13+ pts | 54% | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 78.00 | |
| Epps, 16+ pts | 45% | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| Epps, 19+ pts | 36% | 31¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | ||
| Epps, 22+ pts | 27% | 22¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | ||
| Epps, 25+ pts | 18% | 13¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 133 | |
| Epps, 28+ pts | 9% | 4¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 3.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tennessee
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DECISION 2026: Tennessee State House Dist. 28Tennessee’s 28th State House District includes areas surrounding downtown Chattanooga. Democratic incumbent Yusuf Hakeem is seeking a fifth term against Independent challengers Demetrus Coonrod and Johnny Horne. Yusuf has been elected to… -
DECISION 2026: Tennessee State House Dist. 23Tennessee’s 23rd State House District includes McMinn County and communities like Athens and Englewood. Republican incumbent Mark Cochran does not face a Democratic challenger but rather a pair of independents. Cochran is seeking a fifth… -
DECISION 2026: Tennessee State Senate Dist. 11Local 3 News TennesseeâÂÂs 11th State Senate District includes Chattanooga and surrounding communities, such as Soddy-Daisy and Signal Mountain Republican incumbent Bo Watson will face Democratic challenger Tim Roberts Both candidates… -
DECISION 2026: Tennessee U.S. House Dist. 3Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District includes all of Hamilton, Bradley, McMinn, and Polk County. The battle for who represents the area at the national level includes Republican incumbent Charles “Chuck” Fleischmann and Democratic… -
Redistricting fuels new push to boost turnout across TennesseeOn an early Saturday morning in Nashville, it was standing room only inside the classrooms of Tennessee's only public historically Black university. But those inside weren't students, and the lessons being shared weren't accredited. On… -
Tennessee Responds to Dolly Parton Sister’s Election ‘Rigging’ PostOct 21, 2026 at 07:26 PM EDT Stella Parton, the sister of country music icon Dolly Parton, shared on social media that she had trouble casting her ballot during early voting in Tennessee, adding to reports from voters who say they… -
Stella Parton says Tennessee voting machine repeatedly switched her vote to RepublicanStella Parton, the sister of Dolly Parton, has reported that her voting machine in Tennessee kept switching her vote to the Republican candidate even though she kept selecting the Democrat. Ms. Parton is not the only one reporting this. “I… -
Dolly Parton’s Sister Sounds Alarm About Tennessee Voting Machine After Claiming Her Vote Was FlippedThe sister of country music legend Dolly Parton is making waves in Tennessee, but not everyone wants to hear what she has to say. The Parton family is still mourning the singer, who passed away on Aug. 25. However, the family’s latest… -
Tennessee Titans cut defensive tackle Jordan Elliott after alleged gun incidentThe head coach of the Tennessee Titans praised the character of defensive tackle Jordan Elliott after he was cut from the team on allegations he attempted to retrieve a gun after a fight during practice. Skyler Henry reports. Titans player… -
Tennessee’s independent gubernatorial candidates look to sway votersNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — Two independent candidates are battling for the highest political seat in the state of Tennessee. No independent has ever won the governor's office in Tennessee. But candidates Lauren Pinkston and David Hatley… -
Time is running out to request a mail-in ballot in TennesseeNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — The midterm elections are approaching, and the next major deadline for Tennessee voters is applying to vote by mail. The final day for Tennessee residents to request an absentee ballot for the 2026 general… -
Tennessee voters claim machines switched votes from Democrats to RepublicansTennessee voters claim machines at polling places in Madison and Williamson counties switched their votes from Democrat candidates to Republicans. Voter Lisa White in Madison County told 39 News she noticed a Republican candidate’s name on…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions