Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
Install
South Carolina Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
16%Andrews, 1+ pts
06
How the odds have moved
Andrews, 1+ pts: 11% on Oct 20, 16% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrews, 1+ pts | 16% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 18.3K |
| Andrews, 2+ pts | 11% | ▼ 2 | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Andrews, 3+ pts | 8% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| Andrews, 4+ pts | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | ||
| Andrews, 5+ pts | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.76 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina Senate
Search ›-
Election 2026 South Carolina Senatedailyrecordnews.com - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Wind Advisory from THU 7:00 PM PDT until FRI 11:00 AM PDT President Donald Trump gestures after speaking at a campaign rally Wednesday, Oct… - Trump rallies for Graham as South Carolina Senate race tightensPresident Trump wrapped up his midterm campaign swing through the Carolinas Wednesday night with a stop near Clemson to rally support for interim South Carolina Republican Sen. Darline Graham. Trump attacked Democratic candidate Dr. Annie…
-
Trump rallies behind Darline Graham in South Carolina Senate race ahead of midtermsThursday October 22, 2026 US President Donald Trump travelled to South Carolina yesterday (21 October) to campaign for Senator Darline Graham, whose early struggles in her first election campaign since replacing her late brother have… -
Trump Props Up Graham in Last-Minute Push in South Carolina Senate RaceDemocrat Annie Andrews said Graham’s need for Trump’s visit shows she’s losing. President Donald Trump told the crowd that Sen. Darline Graham would never let them down. (Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP) October 21, 2026 09:49 p.m. By Meg… - Cook moves Mississippi, South Carolina Senate races toward DemocratsThree prominent Latin American political leaders have endorsed Rep. María Elvira Salazar (R-Florida) in recent weeks, prompting criticism from some Democrats who describe the international support as foreign interference in a U.S…
-
Trump to rally for Graham in tight South Carolina Senate race amid Russia riftTradingView Trump to rally for Graham in tight South Carolina Senate race amid Russia rift -
'Speak for her': Democrat Annie Andrews says Sen. Darline Graham needs President Donald Trump to campaign for her, calling South Carolina's Senate race 'neck and neck' before his Pendleton rallyU.S. President Donald Trump campaigned for U.S. Senate candidate Darline Graham in North Carolina, while her opponent, Annie Andrews, criticized her for receiving help to maintain her relevance in the campaign. Graham succeeded her… -
Recommended StoriesTrump warns Democrats ‘want to burn it all down’ in South Carolina pitch Washington Examiner President Donald Trump on Wednesday evening rallied Republicans in South Carolina, warning voters to turn out for the 2026 midterm elections to… -
Darline Graham Narrowly Leads for South Carolina SenateA new The Trafalgar Group (R) poll in South Carolina finds Darline Graham (R) leading Annie Andrews (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 46%, with Kasie Whitener (L) at 4% and Mark Hackett (C) at 1%. South Carolina Senate Race Darline… -
Three men allege late Lindsey Graham paid for sex one says he was 17 and filmed without consentReleased three months after the senator's death, ‘The CLOSETocracy’ has divided conservatives; The New York Times could not verify the men's identities or claims, while his sister Darline fights to retain his South Carolina Senate seat in… -
Politics MondayAmy Walter and Tamara Keith kick off the week with an in-depth discussion of the latest political news. NPR’s Tamara Keith and Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter join Geoff Bennett to discuss the latest political news…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions