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Rhode Island's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.8 on Oct 20, 36.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amo, 23+ pts | 96% | 92¢ | 100¢ | |||
| Amo, 26+ pts | 93% | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1.03 | 394 | |
| Amo, 29+ pts | 84% | ▼ 1 | 80¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 130 |
| Amo, 32+ pts | 73% | ▼ 1 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 854 |
| Amo, 35+ pts | 58% | 53¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 594 | |
| Amo, 38+ pts | 41% | 36¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 644 | |
| Amo, 41+ pts | 26% | 21¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 682 | |
| Amo, 44+ pts | 13% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 683 | |
| Amo, 47+ pts | 5% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 697 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rhode Island
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EXCLUSIVE: Rhode Island school district accused of hiding kids' gender transitions from parentsWesterly High School, part of Westerly Public Schools, where America First Legal filed a formal complaint with the U.S. Departments of Justice (DOJ) and Education (ED), calling for a federal investigation into Westerly Public Schools (WPS)… -
Providence celebrates 3rd annual Rhode Island Palestine Dayby MARTHA KONSTANDINIDIS, NBC 10 NEWS PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WJAR) — Food, music and tradition brought people together for the third annual Rhode Island Palestine Day, as a debate over Providence's Question 7 ballot measure continues. Organizer… -
Late night cannabis delivery is coming to Rhode Islandby DEVIN BATES, NBC 10 NEWS (WJAR) — Late night delivery in Rhode Island is going green, with the state’s Cannabis Control Commission voting to expand the hours in which customers can have products delivered from the dispensary to their… -
Rhode Island 2026 Election Results2026 results › Rhode Island General election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Rhode Island close at 8 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the… -
Tenants Unions Anticipate Housing Policy Gains After Progressives Win in Rhode IslandReclaim Rhode Island demonstrates the power of tenant organizing to effect change in local politics. The housing crisis emerged as a central issue last month in Providence, Rhode Island, as Democratic socialist David Morales unseated… -
RI leaders pay tribute to Rhode Island Nine killed in BeirutIn all, 241 U.S. Marines died in the bombing. West Midlands Police said the man was pronounced dead at the scene with others requiring treatment. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will clash with right-winger Flavio Bolsonaro… -
Rhode Island Democrats name new party chairwomanPROVIDENCE — State Representative Jenni A. Furtado will replace Liz Beretta-Perik as chairwoman of the Rhode Island Democratic Party, House Speaker Christopher R. Blazejewski announced Wednesday. The announcement came one day after… -
Did Elizabeth Beretta-Perik make the right decision in resigning as chair of the Rhode Island Democratic Party following her husband’s indictment?When news reached Rhode Island on Oct. 19 that her husband had been indicted in Ohio on fraud charges, Elizabeth Beretta-Perik had a decision to make. Beretta-Perik had served as chairperson of the Rhode Island Democratic Party since 2023… -
Eight days in, 30,000 Rhode Island voters cast ballots earlyAfter record-breaking turnout in the Sept. 9 primaries, including a wave of early voting, just over 30,000 voters cast ballots at designated municipal polling places in the first eight days since early voting began Oct. 14. That's 40%… -
State Rep. Jenni Furtado named chairwoman of Rhode Island Democratic PartyHouse Speaker Chris Blazejewski said Wednesday that Rep. Jenni Furtado will serve as the new chairwoman of the Rhode Island Democratic Party. Furtado succeeds Liz Beretta-Perik, who resigned amid fraud charges against her husband in Ohio… -
Pluribus AM: New polls in Alabama, Rhode Island, Alaska, South Carolina - Pluribus News08:01 AM, Oct 21, 2026 Good morning, it’s Wednesday, October 21, 2026. In today’s edition, how AI plays on the campaign trail; Rhode Island pauses automated license plate readers; new polls in Alabama, Rhode Island, Alaska, South Carolina… -
A new study says this Rhode Island city is second safest in the US. Boston is much lower on the list.A few New England cities earned a place among the top five safest cities in the country on WalletHub’s 2026 findings, but Boston is not among them. Warwick, Rhode Island, was declared the second safest city in the U.S. in 2026, losing its…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions