Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Ohio Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
28%Husted, 1+ pts
012
How the odds have moved
Husted, 1+ pts: 29% on Oct 24, 28% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Husted, 1+ pts | 28% | ▲ 1 | 27¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 591 |
| Husted, 2+ pts | 21% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 31.1K |
| Husted, 3+ pts | 15% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 1.2K |
| Husted, 4+ pts | 14% | 13¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 17.8K | |
| Husted, 5+ pts | 10% | ▼ 2 | 8¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| Husted, 6+ pts | 9% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 9.8K |
| Husted, 7+ pts | 6% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | |
| Husted, 8+ pts | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.3K | |
| Husted, 10+ pts | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | 3.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio Senate
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Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midtermsFox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on the closely watched Ohio Senate and governor races ahead of the midterm elections. Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midterms Fox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on… -
Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretchFox News Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretch Ohio Sen. Jon Husted joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss early voting numbers, his reelection campaign strategy and the key issues shaping the midterm elections. Ohio Senate candidate Jon… -
APTOPIX Election 2026 Ohio SenateGazetteXtra Former President Barack Obama speaks during a campaign rally for Democratic Ohio Senate candidate Sherrod Brown, Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, in Cleveland. Rock County Board OKs panelists for new data center advisory panel despite… -
Election 2026 Ohio SenateClinton Herald Mike Ditka, the quintessential Chicago Bear and a Pro Football Hall of Famer, dies at 86 Explosion and fire erupt at Quaker Oats plant in Cedar Rapids, Iowa; no injuries Amy Acton, Democratic candidate for governor of Ohio… -
Fox News Poll: Gender gap and pocketbook pain shape Ohio Senate raceSen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, discusses President Donald Trump’s campaign rally and weighs in on the Senate race, the daylight saving debate and key legislation on ‘The Sunday Briefing.’ Powered by a clear favorability advantage, a large gender… -
Sherrod Brown Leads in Ohio Senate RaceA new Fox News Poll poll in Ohio finds Sherrod Brown (D) leading Jon Husted (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 52% to 47%. Ohio Senate Race Sherrod Brown (D) 52% Jon Husted (R) 47% Fox News Poll poll · likely voters · ±2% The same poll in Ohio… - Crypto industry again targets Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate comeback bidWASHINGTON, D.C. — The cryptocurrency industry, which spent heavily to help defeat former Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio in 2024, is again bankrolling attack ads against the Democrat as he tries to win back his seat. The crypto industry has…
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Donald Trump Compliments Nicki Minaj’s Body at Michigan RallyOct 25, 2026 at 04:53 PM EDT President Donald Trump made an unexpected remark about rapper Nicki Minaj’s appearance during a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, on Sunday, briefly turning attention away from his midterm campaign message. After… -
Two new polls give insight into Ohio Senate, governor races as midterms nearTwo polls released this week show Democrats taking leads in upcoming races for Ohio United States senator and governor. The polls gave insight into two races that are gaining national attention – Democrat Sherrod Brown against Republican… -
Democrats Hold Narrow Leads in OhioA new Red Box Research (D) poll in Ohio finds Sherrod Brown (D) leading Jon Husted (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 44%. Ohio Senate Race Sherrod Brown (D) 47% Jon Husted (R) 44% Red Box Research poll · likely voters · ±4.6% The same… -
Map Shows Where Data Centers Are Being Built in Ohio Amid Midterm DebateOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Data centers have emerged as a central dividing line in the Ohio Senate race between Republican Senator Jon Husted and Democratic former Senator Sherrod Brown. Large AI data centers have been popping up across… -
Ohio Senate Odds Show Democrat Lead Two Weeks Out: Trade Midterm Elections on KalshiBy Paul Lebowitz in Politics News The Ohio Senate odds could be one of the key indicators as to which party will take control of the upper chamber for the final two years of President Donald J. Trump’s second term. If incumbent Republican…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions