Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Ohio's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
11.7median
023
Median 11.7Middle half 6.73 – 16.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.5 on Oct 19, 11.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landsman, 1+ pts | 93% | 90¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| Landsman, 2+ pts | 92% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.04 | 439 | |
| Landsman, 5+ pts | 83% | ▼ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | |
| Landsman, 8+ pts | 70% | ▼ 1 | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | |
| Landsman, 11+ pts | 54% | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 15.00 | |
| Landsman, 14+ pts | 37% | 32¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| Landsman, 17+ pts | 23% | 18¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| Landsman, 20+ pts | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 123 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio
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Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretchFox News Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretch Ohio Sen. Jon Husted joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss early voting numbers, his reelection campaign strategy and the key issues shaping the midterm elections. Ohio Senate candidate Jon… -
Obama slams Trump on campaign trail in OhioCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 CBS13 News Weekend 5pm CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Obama advocates for Democratic candidates in battleground Ohio midtermsFormer President Barack Obama is on the campaign trail in Cleveland, Ohio, advocating for the state's Democratic candidates ahead of the midterm elections. CNN's Lauren Fox reports. Obama advocates for Democratic candidates in battleground… -
WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama campaigns with Ohio Democrats in ClevelandFormer President Barack Obama speaks at a Cleveland campaign rally to support Ohio Democrats including former Senator Sherrod Brown. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama campaigns with Ohio Democrats in Cleveland Former President Barack Obama speaks… -
Former President Obama rallies with Democratic nominees in Ohio amid electionsFox News reporter Alexandria Hoff joins 'Fox Report' to discuss former President Barack Obama's Ohio campaign visit, voter reactions and the state's Senate and gubernatorial races. Former President Obama rallies with Democratic nominees in… -
Obama slams Trump’s ‘cruelty and corruption’ at Ohio rally for DemocratsFormer US president says Trump ‘chose to make a series of bad decisions’, highlighting the US-Israel war on Iran. Former United States President Barack Obama has criticised the “cruelty and corruption” during President Donald Trump’s… -
WATCH LIVE: Ramaswamy, Husted headline Ohio GOP bus tour rally in BataviaVivek Ramaswamy and Sen. Jon Husted address supporters at an Ohio Republican "Rev up the Vote" tour rally with Bikers for Trump in Batavia, Ohio. WATCH LIVE: Ramaswamy, Husted headline Ohio GOP bus tour rally in Batavia Vivek Ramaswamy and… -
Obama Tests His Midwest Magic With Michigan, Ohio Stops for El-Sayed, BrownOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Former President Barack Obama returns to Michigan and Ohio on Saturday to test his enduring political pull in two crucial Rust Belt states where he won two decisive victories, entering the fray just 10 days… -
Obama, in Ohio, assails 'cruelty' and indecency from Trump and his allies in the midterm campaignFormer President Barack Obama on Saturday seized on what he described as cruelty and indecency coming from President Donald Trump and his Republican allies, stepping into one of the nation's ugliest midterm fights as he worked to rally… -
1978 court documents shed light on explosive Ohio political adBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The documents… -
In Ohio rally, Obama blasts Ramaswamy, GOP over controversial Acton ad: "No low he will not sink to"October 24, 2026 / 8:34 PM EDT / CBS/AP Former President Barack Obama on Saturday seized on what he described as cruelty and indecency coming from President Trump and his Republican allies, stepping into one of the nation's ugliest midterm… -
Obama compares Trump's White House renovations to 'Saddam Hussein opening a Cheesecake Factory' at Ohio rallyFormer President Barack Obama returned to the campaign circuit Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, during a midterm rally in Ohio for U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton. Former President Barack Obama mocked…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions