Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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New York's 9th District margin of victory
The odds
52.4median
3565
Median 52.4Middle half 48.1 – 56.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.8 on Oct 19, 52.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarke, 38+ pts | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | 200 | ||
| Clarke, 41+ pts | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | 259 | ||
| Clarke, 44+ pts | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| Clarke, 47+ pts | 81% | ▼ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 292 |
| Clarke, 50+ pts | 66% | 62¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 259 | |
| Clarke, 53+ pts | 46% | 41¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 20.00 | |
| Clarke, 56+ pts | 28% | 23¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 10.00 | |
| Clarke, 59+ pts | 13% | 8¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 100 | |
| Clarke, 62+ pts | 5% | 0¢ | 9¢ | $10.64 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York
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New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victimsCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victims Trump, Obama make Senate campaign stops in opposite… -
Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio, UtahCongressional candidates Michael LiPetri, Eric Conroy and Riley Owen join 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss generational change in Congress as elections approach. Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio… -
New York’s union-loving Board of Regents is wrecking our schools — let’s scrap itNew York State’s education system is in steep decline. Enrollment is down, but spending is up, and academic results are either stagnant or declining. It’s time to reform our system of governance by axing the Board of Regents and giving the… -
Even a socialist like Mamdani can improve New York — here’s howMayor Zohran Mamdani recently made an observation that ought to command widespread agreement. “Quality of life has come to be seen as somehow a right-wing concern,” he said. The same goes for efficiency and rooting out waste. His point was… -
Voices of the voters in the 2026 New York governor's raceCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |… -
Hochul, Blakeman focus on affordability in campaign stops across New York CityOctober 24, 2026 / 12:03 AM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman campaigned on opposite sides of New York City on Friday, speaking with voters about on affordability, taxes and public safety as the… -
First Russian diesel tanker heads to New York after Trump's deal with Putin to lower fuel pricesRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' The first tanker with 40,000 tons of diesel left for New York from Russia earlier… -
New York on pace to lose 1 congressional seat in 2022As the numbers stand now, there would need to be a very sudden shift in population for New York’s total to be anything but 26 seats in the decade following the 2022 reapportionment. | Carlos Osorio/AP 12/21/2017 05:02 AM EST ALBANY — It’s… -
New York City votes to ban horse-drawn carriagesCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. NYC votes to ban… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… -
New York's top court affirms law shifting local elections to even-numbered yearsOctober 17, 2025 / 10:18 PM EDT / AP New York's highest court on Thursday upheld a law shifting local elections to even-numbered years, bringing most county and town elections in line with statewide and federal races. The state Court of… -
New York City mayoral contender Zellnor Myrie out with first TV adThe candidates are looking to make a dent in Andrew Cuomo's significant lead in the polls. Brooklyn state Sen. Zellnor Myrie is releasing his first TV ad of the mayor's race Tuesday. | Courtesy of state Sen. Zellnor Myrie's office…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions