Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
Install
New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
The odds
3.94median
-124
Median 3.94
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.22 on Oct 20, 3.94 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew, 1+ pts | 68% | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | ||
| Drew, 3+ pts | 55% | ▼ 3 | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 3.0K |
| Drew, 6+ pts | 39% | ▼ 7 | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 2.8K |
| Drew, 9+ pts | 29% | ▼ 6 | 27¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 3.0K |
| Drew, 12+ pts | 16% | ▼ 4 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 524 |
| Drew, 15+ pts | 7% | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| Drew, 18+ pts | 4% | 8¢ | $12.82 | 3.2K | ||
| Drew, 21+ pts | 3% | ▲ 3 | 6¢ | $16.95 | 102 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Jersey
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Why New Jersey’s ventilator guidelines may favor younger, whiter patientsBy Sam Sutton and Carly Sitrin 04/19/2020 07:00 AM EDT Lawmakers in New Jersey, which is quickly becoming the new epicenter of the Covid-19 pandemic, are worried new emergency triage guidelines for the state’s hospitals could push younger… -
Early voting begins in New Jersey for 2026 midterm electionsCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Early… -
Tom Kean had everything going for him. Then the Republican New Jersey congressman disappearedEven with a multimillion-dollar war chest, the US representative faces a stiff fight for his seat from Democrat Rebecca Bennett The stars above New Jersey seemed aligned for Tom Kean Jr. The Republican congressman had a war chest of more… -
Voters in Burlington County, New Jersey demand changes after waiting for hours at polling sitesNovember 6, 2024 / 6:56 PM EST / CBS Philadelphia Burlington County leaders called the experience of voters Tuesday, who waited hours in long lines at the polls, "unacceptable" and vowed a "top-to-bottom" review of election procedures to… -
How and when to vote early in New York and New Jersey for the 2026 general electionOctober 23, 2026 / 2:51 PM EDT / CBS New York Early voting gets underway Saturday in New York and New Jersey Polling sites will be open around New York City starting at 9 a.m. Saturday. The early voting period will continue through Sunday… -
New Jersey bill threatens to ban chewing gumA newly introduced New Jersey bill targets the hidden health risks of intentionally added microplastics, threatening to outlaw chewing gum, cosmetics, and cleaning supplies within three years. US President Donald Trump attacked Norway… -
What are the midterm elections? How to vote in New JerseyWe are days aways from the last statewide election for 2026, which is the New Jersey General Election. The midterm elections will determine the 120th United States Congress in which all 435 seats of the U.S. House of Representatives and 35… -
'I basically snapped': New Jersey mayor charges at resident during chaotic council meetingVideo captures Pemberton Township Mayor Matthew Bianchini rushing toward a resident during a heated council meeting before being restrained by others in attendance (Credit: Ryan Elmore/Pine Barrens Tribune via Storyful). A New Jersey… -
New video shows New Jersey mayor charging at resident during heated council meetingFox News New video shows New Jersey mayor charging at resident during heated council meeting Video released by Pemberton Township shows Mayor Matthew Bianchini rushing toward a resident during a tense council meeting before being… -
Federal oversight ended, so Sherrill proposed cuts to New Jersey’s child welfare systemNew Jersey spent more than two decades rebuilding a child welfare system once described as dysfunctional, eventually making enough progress to escape federal court oversight and rank among the nation’s better-performing states on several… -
New Jersey politicians getting hot and botheredWhen Matthew Bianchini, the mayor of Pemberton Township in South Jersey, made headlines for charging after and yelling at an audience member and at a Oct. 21 meeting, it was not the first time a public meeting got out of hand in New… -
Pemberton, New Jersey mayor charges at someone during heated council meetingCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pemberton…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions