Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
11.1median
-225
Median 11.1Middle half 5.67 – 17.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 11.2 on Oct 20, 11.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaheen, 1+ pts | 90% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 3.9K | |
| Shaheen, 4+ pts | 80% | ▼ 1 | 77¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 5.1K |
| Shaheen, 7+ pts | 71% | ▼ 1 | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 2.8K |
| Shaheen, 10+ pts | 56% | ▼ 1 | 54¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 4.6K |
| Shaheen, 13+ pts | 40% | 39¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 4.4K | |
| Shaheen, 16+ pts | 28% | 26¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 2.8K | |
| Shaheen, 19+ pts | 20% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 454 |
| Shaheen, 22+ pts | 11% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 81.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire
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John Sununu is running on his family’s legacy in New Hampshire. His brother is staying on the sidelinesThe campaign signs across New Hampshire read “Sununu” in block letters. They’re for Republican Senate nominee John E. Sununu, who held the seat from 2003 to 2009 and is running to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. But they… -
US supreme court sides with Republicans on rejecting student IDs in New Hampshire midtermsVoting rights advocates say directive would disenfranchise young and low-income voters, but Republicans say it’s needed to combat voter fraud The US supreme court has cleared the way for New Hampshire to prohibit student IDs as a form of… -
Supreme Court blocks use of student IDs as voter identification in New HampshireFirst Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli examines the growing dispute over voter eligibility verification in California. Los Angeles County election officials acknowledge they lack the resources to verify the citizenship status of… -
Hitting the (campaign) trail in New HampshireCONCORD, N.H. — As several people with their sights set on the White House kick up dust along New Hampshire’s highways and byways in the coming days, one longshot Republican presidential candidate has planned an especially thorough Granite… -
‘Everyone’s concerned’: New Hampshire voters frustrated with costs, corruptionNew Hampshire Democratic voter Tom Rousseau says “everybody’s concerned about what’s going on economically.” In the next Congress, he said he hopes leaders find common ground between the parties and come up with… -
Supreme Court says New Hampshire can limit use of student IDs for votingThe Supreme Court on Thursday allowed New Hampshire officials to limit when voters may use a student ID to receive a ballot, agreeing that a lower court ruling that blocked enforcement of the policy was too close to Election Day. The… -
Supreme Court rules New Hampshire can ban use of student IDs for midterm votersOctober 22, 2026 / 7:53 PM EDT / CBS/AP The Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The justices granted a Republican-backed emergency appeal and… -
Kelly Ayotte answers questions from voters in New Hampshire town hall eventConversation with the Candidate Republican candidate and incumbent Gov. Kelly Ayotte joined WMUR for the latest installment of the "Conversation with the Candidate" series, which invites members of the public to ask candidates running for… -
Supreme Court says New Hampshire student IDs can’t be used to vote in NovemberWASHINGTON — In a win for Republicans, the Supreme Court on Thursday said that student IDs cannot be used in New Hampshire for the midterm elections. The justices granted an emergency request filed by the state, which had the backing of… -
2024 New Hampshire State House Grafton District 18 election resultsResults for the 2024 New Hampshire State House Grafton District 18 general election. Find New Hampshire and national elections results at BostonGlobe.com. 2024 New Hampshire State House Grafton District 18 election results -
Trump aide Corey Lewandowski "put in a box" by Trump and ordered to narrow focus to New HampshireUpdated on: October 14, 2024 / 7:23 PM EDT / CBS News As former President Donald Trump entered his final weeks of campaigning, the uneasy relationship between rival factions of his campaign's leadership has grown more testy, with sources… -
Ayotte says housing affordability is No. 1 issue in New Hampshire | Conversation with the CandidateAnswering a voter's question, Ayotte said housing is her primary focus and will continue to be if re-elected. "I think housing is the No. 1 economic challenge facing the state," Ayotte said. She cited several bills passed during a…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions