Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
Install
Nebraska's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
6.64median
-127
Median 6.64Middle half 1 – 12.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 6.18 on Oct 20, 6.64 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flood, 1+ pts | 75% | ▼ 1 | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | |
| Flood, 3+ pts | 67% | ▼ 1 | 63¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 69.00 |
| Flood, 6+ pts | 53% | ▼ 1 | 48¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 298 |
| Flood, 9+ pts | 39% | ▼ 1 | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 1.4K |
| Flood, 12+ pts | 26% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 1.8K |
| Flood, 15+ pts | 16% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 250 |
| Flood, 18+ pts | 8% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.6K |
| Flood, 21+ pts | 4% | 9¢ | $11.36 | 40.00 | ||
| Flood, 24+ pts | 3% | 7¢ | $15.38 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nebraska
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Democrat hoping to flip Nebraska House seat pushing for action on affordabilityCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Democrat hoping to… -
JD Vance Nebraska Rally Interrupted by Medical Incident Behind VP on StageOct 22, 2026 at 01:08 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 03:41 PM EDT Vice President JD Vance led an audience in Nebraska in prayer Thursday after a woman behind him suffered a medical emergency during his rally speech. The woman appeared to pass out… -
New SNAP rules leave Nebraska families facing food insecurityWhen Joan Jakoubek applied for federal food aid last January, she knew she was going to fall short of qualifying. Nebraska's Anthony Colandrea (10) celebrates after making a 50-yard run past Maryland defenders during the second half on… -
Jocelyn Brasher challenges Mike Hilgers in Nebraska Attorney General raceJocelyn Brasher, a former prosecutor and Nebraska assistant attorney general, is challenging Mike Hilgers for the position of Nebraska attorney general, pledging to prioritize the will of the people and bring transparency to the office. "I… -
WATCH LIVE: VP Vance rallies Nebraska voters as midterms weeks awayVice President JD Vance delivers remarks at a rally in North Platte, Nebraska. WATCH LIVE: VP Vance rallies Nebraska voters as midterms weeks away Vice President JD Vance delivers remarks at a rally in North Platte, Nebraska. -
Lynne Walz aims to overcome partisanship in bid to become Nebraska governorLynne Walz, Democratic candidate for Nebraska governor, names Nebraska farmer Ben Steffen as her running mate and the Democratic candidate for lieutenant governor. FREMONT, Neb. — The best job Lynne Walz ever had came right after she… -
In Rural Nebraska, Mail Voting Saves Money And Boosts Access. Restrictions Could Change That.Nebraska Secretary of State Bob Evnen said recently that in the 2024 general election, 300,000 Nebraska registered voters chose to vote by mail. “We work hard in Nebraska to assure that our mail-in voting is honest," he said in a social… -
Nebraska Gov. Jim Pillen leans on conservative base in bid for reelectionFALLS CITY, Neb. — Between bites of brisket in a barn converted into an event space, Gov. Jim Pillen reflected on his reelection campaign and smiled. U.S. Vice President JD Vance campaigned Thursday for U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts, Nebraska… -
Nebraska challengers Osborn, Backemeyer continue to outraise incumbentsIndependent U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn outraised and outspent incumbent Republican U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts in the first 14 days of October, campaign finance records show. We reached out to candidates in contested general elections… -
Trump releases endorsements for Nebraska midterm racesPresident Donald Trump has released his list of endorsements for Nebraska. In a Truth Social post, he wrote that none of them will ever let you down. LINCOLN, Neb. (KLKN) — President Donald Trump has released his list of endorsements for… -
Nebraska farmers react to Trump administration’s $1.3B fertilizer planOMAHA, Neb. (WOWT) - Vice President JD Vance announced a plan Thursday, Oct. 23 in North Platte to invest $1.3 billion in domestic fertilizer plants. Two of the 11 planned plants will be located in Nebraska. “They’re going to have… -
Missouri backs Nebraska’s parental rights social media lawPublished 2:27 pm Friday, October 23, 2026 JEFFERSON CITY — Missouri has joined a multistate friend-of-the-court brief supporting Nebraska’s Parental Rights in Social Media Act in the case NetChoice v. Hilgers, Attorney General Catherine…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions