Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Montana's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
1median
-118
Median 1
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.10 on Oct 20, 1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flint, 1+ pts | 50% | ▲ 2 | 45¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 1.1K |
| Flint, 3+ pts | 36% | 31¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 2.4K | |
| Flint, 6+ pts | 20% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.0K |
| Flint, 9+ pts | 7% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.8K | |
| Flint, 12+ pts | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 331 | |
| Flint, 15+ pts | 3% | 6¢ | $17.54 | 2.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Montana
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Buttigieg endorses independent candidate Seth Bodnar over Democratic nominee in Montana Senate raceOctober 23, 2026 / 12:23 PM EDT / CBS News Former U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has endorsed the independent candidate in the Montana Senate race, Seth Bodnar, over the Democratic nominee, Bodnar's campaign announced Friday… -
Montana Votes: The Ballot BreakdownThe Israeli Defense Forces announces restrictions on the movement of Palestinian workers in the run-up to Tuesday's election. David Tolbert told investigators when he opened his car door outside a store where he was working in Huntsville… -
Montana's plan to curb election spendingOne of the greatest frustrations I had during my 18 years representing the great state of Montana in the U.S. Senate was watching, in real time, the ever-increasing flood of corporate money poison our political discourse. Enactment of this… -
Watch Montana Votes: The Ballot BreakdownKRTV Watch Montana Votes: The Ballot Breakdown Watch MTN News half-hour program featuring all of Montana key races leading up to Nov. 3: Results From Around The State -
Montana has a plan to curb political spendingOne of the greatest frustrations I had during my 18 years representing the great state of Montana in the U.S. Senate was watching, in real time, the ever-increasing flood of corporate money poison our political discourse. Enactment of this… -
The Blitz: Montana high school football highlights (Oct. 24)The Independent Record Javascript is required to use this website. To have games included in the Blitz, submit scores and scoring details to 406mtsports.myteamscoop.com People are also reading⦠- 'A life like hers doesn't end': Hundreds… -
Montana Lottery Powerball, Lotto America results for Oct. 24, 2026Here's a look at Oct. 24, 2026, results for each game: 04-05-15-19-55, Powerball: 19, Power Play: 2 15-18-21-25-31, Star Ball: 04, ASB: 04 Check Montana Cash payouts and previous drawings here. Mega Millions: 9 p.m. MT on Tuesday and… -
How Montana’s federal campaigns are fundedMontana’s federal candidates have arrived at the final stage of the general election largely fueled by individual contributions. National political action committee donations and contributions from congressional leadership committees also… -
Montana will have low congressional seniority in 2027HELENA — We still don’t know who Montana voters will be sending to represent them in Congress this election, but one thing we do know is that at least two of them will be newcomers. That means, in 2027, Montana will be low on the list when… -
Guest opinion: Montana’s land stewards are back in the driver’s seatMontana’s public lands have long been worked and hunted by generations of Montanans. For the families who depend on them, access to public lands, healthy forests, and a strong timber industry are not abstract policy debates. Guest opinion… -
Initiative seeks to rein in ‘dark money’ in MontanaA "Vote Yes on I-194" sign sits near the University of Montana on Sept. 30. Dark money — political spending that’s unlimited and often untraceable to its true source — has become a fixture of Montana politics. Initiative 194 seeks to end… -
Montana Shliach Accompanies US Senator to Auschwitzי״ב מרחשון ה׳תשפ״ז | October 23, 2026 US Senator Steve Daines and Montana Shliach Rabbi Chaim Bruk traveled to Poland together to visit the Auschwitz-Birkenau Memorial in Oświęcim, where 1.1 million people, mostly Jews, were murdered. This…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions