Mississippi Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $276 today · $33.8K traded · $24.2K at stake · prices read 38 min ago

The odds

6.94median
-125
Median 6.94Middle half 3.85 – 10.9

How the odds have moved

Median: 6.18 on Oct 20, 6.94 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Hyde-Smith, 1+ pts 90% 89¢ 90¢ $1.11 1.7K
Hyde-Smith, 3+ pts 82% ▼ 2 79¢ 85¢ $1.18 1.2K
Hyde-Smith, 5+ pts 66% ▲ 1 64¢ 67¢ $1.49 13.2K
Hyde-Smith, 7+ pts 50% 49¢ 50¢ $2.00 19.2K
Hyde-Smith, 9+ pts 36% ▲ 1 34¢ 37¢ $2.70 25.8K
Hyde-Smith, 10+ pts 32% ▲ 4 28¢ 36¢ $2.78 147
Hyde-Smith, 11+ pts 24% ▲ 2 21¢ 27¢ $3.70 10.1K
Hyde-Smith, 13+ pts 14% ▼ 3 12¢ 16¢ $6.25 10.2K
Hyde-Smith, 15+ pts 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.10 1.1K
Hyde-Smith, 17+ pts 4% 1¢ 8¢ $13.16 421
Hyde-Smith, 19+ pts 3% 6¢ $16.95 117
Hyde-Smith, 21+ pts 3% 5¢ $18.52 200
Hyde-Smith, 23+ pts 3% 5¢ $20.00 177

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mississippi Senate

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  • Mississippi Senate race is drawing attention from high-profile DemocratsNPR · 4 days agoNPR Mississippi Senate race is drawing attention from high-profile Democrats From Gulf States Newsroom A U.S. Senate race in the Republican stronghold of Mississippi is getting rare attention from prominent Democrats. NPR does not offer or…
  • Kamala Harris rallies for Mississippi Senate candidate as she elevates profileThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The former vice…
  • Kamala Harris Stumps for Colom in Mississippi Senate RaceNTD · 2 days agoFormer Vice President Kamala Harris was on the campaign trail in Mississippi on Thursday to campaign for Scott Colom—the Democrat challenging Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith. What would you like to watch today? Kamala Harris Stumps for…
  • Kamala Harris boosts Democrat Scott Colom’s Mississippi Senate campaignCrypto Briefing · 3 days agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
  • Mississippi Senate Race Is ClosePolitical Wire · 2 days agoJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 A new 365 Project/Change Research (D) poll in Mississippi finds Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) leading Scott Colom (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 43% to 40%, with Ty Pinkins (I) at 6%. For members: Could…
  • Harris, Trump visits could energize Mississippi Senate race@wtva9news · 2 days agoCOLUMBUS, Miss. (WTVA) – A professor said high-profile supporters may motivate voters ahead of midterms. Political analysts say former Vice President Harris’ rally in Columbus could give U.S. Senate candidate Scott Colom a boost, while…
  • Mississippi's Senate Race Gets Close At The Exact Wrong Moment For RepublicansHuffPost · 40 h agoThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. Both parties are now spending millions in a state Trump last won by more than 20 points. JACKSON, Miss. — Scott…
  • Democrats jump into Mississippi Senate raceNBC News · 6 days agoSenate Democrats’ top super PAC announced Tuesday it is launching a new ad campaign in the Mississippi Senate race, as Democrats seek inroads in Republican-leaning states to try to flip the Senate majority. Senate Majority PAC announced a…
  • Is Mississippi Senate race competitive? Political insiders weigh in@WLBT · 4 days agoWLBT Is Mississippi Senate race competitive? Political insiders weigh in Mississippi Senate candidates address plans for Iran war, tariffs and economy if elected Candidates for Mississippi’s Senate race share visions for healthcare and…
  • Mississippi Senate race draws national attention ahead of midterms@WLBT · 3 days agoJACKSON, Miss. (WLBT) - With less than two weeks until the midterm elections, Mississippi’s U.S. Senate race is drawing visits from some of the biggest names in American politics. Analysts on both sides of the aisle say what was once…
  • How Fake Wedgewood Polling May Have Caused Schumer to Blow $1.2 Mil in Mississippi Senate Raceredstate.com · 4 days agoEarlier, RedState's Ward Clark reported on the scandal surrounding Wedgewood Polling, a relatively new polling outfit that was taken seriously by the likes of The New York Times, VoteHub, and data crunching guru Nate Silver, and which…
  • Democratic Super PAC Enters Mississippi Senate RaceYahoo News Malaysia · 5 days ago"Senate Majority PAC has been watching this race closely, and it is clear Colom is running a competitive race that has put Hyde-Smith on her heels," SMP spokesperson Lauren French. This is the first ad the group has placed in the race…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions